Simone Fontecchio

Miami Heat

10 15 20 30 50 82
16
Points Stability
5.0
Median PTS
5.9
Mean PTS
0.78
CV
5.5
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver

Points Distribution

P10 0.0 10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25 3.0 25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50 5.0 Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75 8.5 75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90 12.0 90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min 0 Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max 23 Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD 3.0 Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.

Points Over Last 82 Games

Prop Line Analysis

Recent Scoring

Date Opp MIN PTS FG 3P FT PPM
01/11 @ OKC 2 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 0.00
01/10 @ IND 8 5 2-3 1-1 0-0 0.00
01/06 @ MIN 5 - 0-1 0-1 0-0 1.00
01/04 vs NOP 1 - 0-0 0-0 0-0 1.00
01/03 vs MIN 16 9 3-8 3-8 0-1 0.00
01/01 @ DET 6 5 2-3 1-1 0-0 0.00
12/29 vs DEN 3 3 0-1 0-1 3-3 1.00
12/27 vs IND 3 2 1-3 0-2 0-0 0.00
12/23 vs TOR 9 5 1-4 0-2 3-3 0.00
12/21 @ NYK 17 7 1-6 1-4 4-7 0.00
12/19 @ BOS 30 12 4-13 4-9 0-0 0.00
12/18 @ BKN 22 7 2-7 1-3 2-2 0.00
12/15 vs TOR 26 3 1-5 1-4 0-0 0.00
12/09 @ ORL 8 - 0-5 0-3 0-0 1.00
04/13 @ MIL 19 15 5-9 4-7 1-1 0.00
04/11 vs MIL 5 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 0.00
04/10 vs NYK 6 - 0-0 0-0 0-0 1.00
04/07 vs SAC 8 2 1-3 0-2 0-0 0.00
04/05 vs MEM 16 2 0-4 0-3 2-2 0.00
04/04 @ TOR 14 5 2-3 1-2 0-0 0.00
04/02 @ OKC 12 6 1-4 0-2 4-4 0.00
03/30 @ MIN 25 3 1-8 1-5 0-0 0.00
03/28 vs CLE 14 3 1-3 1-3 0-0 0.00
03/25 vs SAS 17 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 0.00
03/23 vs NOP 19 8 3-6 2-3 0-0 0.00
03/21 @ DAL 16 4 2-5 0-2 0-0 0.00
03/19 @ MIA 13 2 1-3 0-1 0-0 0.00
03/17 @ NOP 22 23 9-10 5-5 0-0 0.00
03/15 vs OKC 13 4 2-4 0-1 0-0 0.00
03/13 vs WAS 10 9 3-5 2-4 1-1 0.00
03/11 vs WAS 18 8 3-5 2-4 0-0 0.00
03/09 @ POR 11 5 1-1 1-1 2-2 0.00
03/08 @ GSW 10 - 0-1 0-1 0-0 1.00
03/05 @ LAC 15 2 1-4 0-3 0-0 0.00
03/03 @ UTA 22 10 4-9 2-5 0-2 0.00
03/01 vs BKN 14 - 0-2 0-2 0-0 1.00
02/28 vs DEN 13 12 4-7 1-3 3-4 0.00
02/23 @ ATL 5 2 1-3 0-0 0-0 0.00
02/21 @ SAS 16 2 1-4 0-3 0-0 0.00
02/12 @ CHI 15 6 1-3 0-1 4-4 0.00
02/11 @ CHI 26 8 2-8 1-3 3-3 0.00
02/09 vs CHA 14 - 0-3 0-2 0-0 1.00
02/07 vs PHI 19 10 3-10 2-8 2-2 0.00
02/05 vs CLE 11 3 1-4 1-2 0-0 0.00
02/03 vs ATL 16 4 1-3 0-2 2-2 0.00
02/02 vs CHI 18 11 3-6 2-4 3-3 0.00
01/31 vs DAL 15 4 1-6 0-3 2-2 0.00
01/29 @ IND 17 6 2-5 1-3 1-2 0.00
01/27 @ CLE 19 4 2-6 0-3 0-0 0.00
01/25 @ ORL 17 - 0-2 0-2 0-0 1.00
01/22 @ ATL 16 13 4-8 3-5 2-2 0.00
01/20 @ HOU 12 - 0-3 0-2 0-0 1.00
01/18 vs PHX 13 4 2-4 0-2 0-2 0.00
01/16 vs IND 18 5 2-5 1-1 0-0 0.00
01/13 @ NYK 15 4 1-3 0-1 2-2 0.00
01/11 vs TOR 15 9 4-8 1-3 0-0 0.00
01/09 vs GSW 27 3 1-7 1-4 0-0 0.00
01/08 @ BKN 24 17 7-11 3-5 0-0 0.00
01/06 vs POR 21 10 3-8 2-5 2-3 0.00
12/28 @ DEN 14 3 1-6 1-4 0-0 0.00
12/26 @ SAC 14 - 0-3 0-3 0-0 1.00
12/23 @ LAL 19 13 4-4 2-2 3-3 0.00
12/21 @ PHX 15 10 4-7 2-4 0-0 0.00
12/19 vs UTA 18 6 2-3 0-1 2-2 0.00
12/16 vs MIA 24 9 2-6 1-3 4-4 0.00
12/12 @ BOS 17 6 1-4 1-3 3-4 0.00
12/07 @ NYK 19 6 2-4 2-3 0-0 0.00
12/04 @ BOS 11 4 2-4 0-1 0-0 0.00
12/03 vs MIL 12 5 2-5 1-4 0-0 0.00
11/30 vs PHI 23 7 2-12 1-8 2-2 0.00
11/29 @ IND 17 5 2-2 1-1 0-0 0.00
11/27 @ MEM 22 18 7-9 3-5 1-1 0.00
11/25 vs TOR 9 1 0-2 0-2 1-2 0.00
11/23 @ ORL 16 4 1-3 1-2 1-2 0.00
11/21 @ CHA 21 8 3-7 2-5 0-0 0.00
11/18 vs CHI 15 6 2-4 2-4 0-0 0.00
11/17 @ WAS 22 6 2-6 2-5 0-0 0.00
11/12 vs MIA 23 10 4-8 2-5 0-0 0.00
11/10 vs HOU 17 5 1-4 1-3 2-2 0.00
11/08 vs ATL 20 11 3-6 1-4 4-5 0.00
11/06 @ CHA 20 7 3-4 1-2 0-0 0.00
11/04 vs LAL 13 - 0-3 0-2 0-0 1.00
11/03 @ BKN 24 7 1-6 1-4 4-5 0.00
11/01 vs NYK 20 12 5-7 2-4 0-1 0.00
10/30 @ PHI 17 2 0-1 0-1 2-2 0.00
10/28 @ MIA 22 6 2-9 1-5 1-2 0.00
10/26 vs BOS 18 11 3-6 3-5 2-2 0.00