Simone Fontecchio
19
Points Stability
3.0
Median PTS
4.9
Mean PTS
1.03
CV
4.5
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
0.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
2.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
3.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
6.5
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
12.3
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
15
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
2.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 10 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/28 | vs HOU | 9 | - | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 02/26 | @ PHI | 9 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 02/21 | vs MEM | 2 | - | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 02/20 | @ ATL | 3 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 02/11 | @ NOP | 27 | 15 | 5-14 | 4-12 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 02/09 | vs UTA | 19 | 9 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/08 | @ WAS | 19 | 12 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/06 | @ BOS | 19 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/03 | vs ATL | 34 | 18 | 7-15 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/01 | vs CHI | 18 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/31 | vs CHI | 18 | 8 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/29 | @ CHI | 18 | - | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/28 | vs ORL | 19 | 23 | 7-11 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/25 | @ PHX | 15 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/24 | @ UTA | 24 | 14 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0.00 |