Simone Fontecchio
19
Points Stability
3.0
Median PTS
4.9
Mean PTS
1.03
CV
4.5
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
0.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
2.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
3.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
6.5
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
12.3
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
15
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
2.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 10 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | @ OKC | 2 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/10 | @ IND | 8 | 5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/06 | @ MIN | 5 | - | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/04 | vs NOP | 1 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/03 | vs MIN | 16 | 9 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0.00 |
| 01/01 | @ DET | 6 | 5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | vs DEN | 3 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1.00 |
| 12/27 | vs IND | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | vs TOR | 9 | 5 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/21 | @ NYK | 17 | 7 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 0.00 |
| 12/19 | @ BOS | 30 | 12 | 4-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/18 | @ BKN | 22 | 7 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/15 | vs TOR | 26 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/09 | @ ORL | 8 | - | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 04/13 | @ MIL | 19 | 15 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0.00 |