Simone Fontecchio
15
Points Stability
3.5
Median PTS
5.3
Mean PTS
0.96
CV
5.8
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
0.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
2.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
3.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
7.8
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
12.0
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
23
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
2.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 30 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/28 | vs HOU | 9 | - | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 02/26 | @ PHI | 9 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 02/21 | vs MEM | 2 | - | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 02/20 | @ ATL | 3 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 02/11 | @ NOP | 27 | 15 | 5-14 | 4-12 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 02/09 | vs UTA | 19 | 9 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/08 | @ WAS | 19 | 12 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/06 | @ BOS | 19 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/03 | vs ATL | 34 | 18 | 7-15 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/01 | vs CHI | 18 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/31 | vs CHI | 18 | 8 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/29 | @ CHI | 18 | - | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/28 | vs ORL | 19 | 23 | 7-11 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/25 | @ PHX | 15 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/24 | @ UTA | 24 | 14 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/22 | @ POR | 25 | 17 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/20 | @ SAC | 19 | 15 | 5-11 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/19 | @ GSW | 27 | 13 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/17 | vs OKC | 18 | 13 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 01/15 | vs BOS | 17 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 01/11 | @ OKC | 2 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/10 | @ IND | 8 | 5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/06 | @ MIN | 5 | - | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/04 | vs NOP | 1 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/03 | vs MIN | 16 | 9 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0.00 |
| 01/01 | @ DET | 6 | 5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | vs DEN | 3 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1.00 |
| 12/27 | vs IND | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | vs TOR | 9 | 5 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/21 | @ NYK | 17 | 7 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 0.00 |
| 12/19 | @ BOS | 30 | 12 | 4-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/18 | @ BKN | 22 | 7 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/15 | vs TOR | 26 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/09 | @ ORL | 8 | - | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 04/13 | @ MIL | 19 | 15 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0.00 |