Nikola Jokić

Denver Nuggets

10 15 20 30 50 82
21
Points Stability
28.0
Median PTS
29.2
Mean PTS
0.32
CV
12.0
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver

Points Distribution

P10 18.9 10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25 23.0 25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50 28.0 Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75 35.0 75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90 40.0 90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min 10 Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max 61 Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD 6.5 Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.

Points Over Last 50 Games

Prop Line Analysis

Recent Scoring

Date Opp MIN PTS FG 3P FT PPM
12/29 @ MIA 19 21 9-14 1-4 2-3 0.00
12/27 @ ORL 38 34 11-22 0-0 12-13 0.00
12/25 vs MIN 43 56 15-21 4-6 22-23 0.00
12/23 @ DAL 36 29 12-22 5-10 0-0 0.00
12/22 vs UTA 29 14 5-7 1-1 3-4 0.00
12/20 vs HOU 29 25 9-20 1-4 6-7 0.00
12/18 vs ORL 38 23 10-17 0-2 3-4 0.00
12/15 vs HOU 42 39 13-27 5-9 8-11 0.00
12/11 @ SAC 29 36 14-16 2-2 6-8 0.00
04/13 @ HOU 31 18 7-10 3-5 1-2 0.00
04/11 vs MEM 41 26 11-19 1-2 3-7 0.00
04/09 @ SAC 38 20 5-12 0-1 10-10 0.00
04/06 vs IND 39 41 18-33 3-11 2-3 0.00
04/04 @ GSW 37 33 13-17 4-7 3-3 0.00
04/01 vs MIN 53 61 18-29 6-11 19-24 0.00
03/28 vs UTA 32 27 8-18 1-5 10-12 0.00
03/26 vs MIL 38 39 16-25 3-6 4-7 0.00
03/15 vs WAS 39 40 16-30 1-8 7-7 0.00
03/14 vs LAL 38 28 8-16 0-4 12-17 0.00
03/12 vs MIN 38 34 13-23 2-6 6-8 0.00
03/10 @ OKC 40 35 15-20 1-2 4-5 0.00
03/09 @ OKC 41 24 10-23 2-10 2-6 0.00
03/07 vs PHX 45 31 13-22 3-7 2-3 0.00
03/05 vs SAC 38 22 9-18 0-2 4-6 0.00
03/02 @ BOS 39 20 9-15 2-3 0-0 0.00
02/28 @ DET 34 23 6-12 0-3 11-12 0.00
02/27 @ MIL 38 32 13-16 1-2 5-7 0.00
02/24 @ IND 39 18 9-14 0-1 0-0 0.00
02/22 vs LAL 35 12 2-7 0-1 8-10 0.00
02/20 vs CHA 37 29 11-22 6-14 1-2 0.00
02/12 vs POR 36 26 11-20 0-3 4-4 0.00
02/10 vs POR 31 40 15-22 2-7 8-8 0.00
02/08 @ PHX 29 26 11-13 1-2 3-3 0.00
02/06 vs ORL 31 28 11-16 2-4 4-6 0.00
02/05 vs NOP 36 38 15-28 5-13 3-3 0.00
02/03 vs NOP 36 27 9-13 1-3 8-10 0.00
02/01 @ CHA 37 28 9-17 2-7 8-9 0.00
01/31 @ PHI 37 28 11-16 2-3 4-5 0.00
01/29 @ NYK 33 17 6-15 3-7 2-2 0.00
01/27 @ CHI 40 33 15-21 1-4 2-2 0.00
01/25 @ MIN 32 20 9-13 2-4 0-1 0.00
01/23 vs SAC 37 35 12-19 2-3 9-10 0.00
01/21 vs PHI 30 27 10-15 2-3 5-5 0.00
01/19 @ ORL 30 20 7-9 0-0 6-7 0.00
01/17 @ MIA 31 24 9-12 1-2 5-5 0.00
01/14 @ DAL 29 10 4-7 1-2 1-2 0.00
01/12 @ DAL 39 19 6-13 0-2 7-9 0.00
01/10 vs BKN 38 35 14-21 1-1 6-8 0.00
01/04 @ SAS 43 46 19-35 3-8 5-6 0.00
01/03 vs SAS 37 41 15-36 3-10 8-9 0.00
01/01 vs ATL 30 23 8-16 1-1 6-6 0.00
12/30 @ UTA 38 36 14-33 3-9 5-6 0.00
12/28 vs DET 37 37 11-17 4-5 11-14 1.00
12/27 vs CLE 36 27 12-19 0-3 3-4 0.00
12/25 @ PHX 38 25 10-19 2-7 3-4 0.00