Nikola Jokić
21
Points Stability
28.0
Median PTS
29.9
Mean PTS
0.32
CV
12.5
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
19.8
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
23.3
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
28.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
35.8
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
40.0
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
12
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
61
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
6.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 30 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/29 | @ MIA | 19 | 21 | 9-14 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/27 | @ ORL | 38 | 34 | 11-22 | 0-0 | 12-13 | 0.00 |
| 12/25 | vs MIN | 43 | 56 | 15-21 | 4-6 | 22-23 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | @ DAL | 36 | 29 | 12-22 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/22 | vs UTA | 29 | 14 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/20 | vs HOU | 29 | 25 | 9-20 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 0.00 |
| 12/18 | vs ORL | 38 | 23 | 10-17 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/15 | vs HOU | 42 | 39 | 13-27 | 5-9 | 8-11 | 0.00 |
| 12/11 | @ SAC | 29 | 36 | 14-16 | 2-2 | 6-8 | 0.00 |
| 04/13 | @ HOU | 31 | 18 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/11 | vs MEM | 41 | 26 | 11-19 | 1-2 | 3-7 | 0.00 |
| 04/09 | @ SAC | 38 | 20 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 10-10 | 0.00 |
| 04/06 | vs IND | 39 | 41 | 18-33 | 3-11 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 04/04 | @ GSW | 37 | 33 | 13-17 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 04/01 | vs MIN | 53 | 61 | 18-29 | 6-11 | 19-24 | 0.00 |
| 03/28 | vs UTA | 32 | 27 | 8-18 | 1-5 | 10-12 | 0.00 |
| 03/26 | vs MIL | 38 | 39 | 16-25 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 0.00 |
| 03/15 | vs WAS | 39 | 40 | 16-30 | 1-8 | 7-7 | 0.00 |
| 03/14 | vs LAL | 38 | 28 | 8-16 | 0-4 | 12-17 | 0.00 |
| 03/12 | vs MIN | 38 | 34 | 13-23 | 2-6 | 6-8 | 0.00 |
| 03/10 | @ OKC | 40 | 35 | 15-20 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 03/09 | @ OKC | 41 | 24 | 10-23 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 0.00 |
| 03/07 | vs PHX | 45 | 31 | 13-22 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 03/05 | vs SAC | 38 | 22 | 9-18 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 0.00 |
| 03/02 | @ BOS | 39 | 20 | 9-15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/28 | @ DET | 34 | 23 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 11-12 | 0.00 |
| 02/27 | @ MIL | 38 | 32 | 13-16 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 0.00 |
| 02/24 | @ IND | 39 | 18 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/22 | vs LAL | 35 | 12 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 0.00 |
| 02/20 | vs CHA | 37 | 29 | 11-22 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/12 | vs POR | 36 | 26 | 11-20 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 02/10 | vs POR | 31 | 40 | 15-22 | 2-7 | 8-8 | 0.00 |
| 02/08 | @ PHX | 29 | 26 | 11-13 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/06 | vs ORL | 31 | 28 | 11-16 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/05 | vs NOP | 36 | 38 | 15-28 | 5-13 | 3-3 | 0.00 |