Nikola Jokić
13
Points Stability
30.0
Median PTS
32.4
Mean PTS
0.39
CV
14.5
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
19.8
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
23.8
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
30.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
38.3
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
43.0
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
18
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
61
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
8.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 10 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01 | vs MIN | 37 | 35 | 15-26 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/27 | @ OKC | 45 | 23 | 9-25 | 2-10 | 3-5 | 0.00 |
| 02/25 | vs BOS | 33 | 30 | 11-28 | 4-13 | 4-7 | 0.00 |
| 02/22 | @ GSW | 36 | 35 | 11-21 | 3-4 | 10-11 | 0.00 |
| 02/20 | @ POR | 29 | 32 | 10-15 | 3-4 | 9-11 | 0.00 |
| 02/19 | @ LAC | 36 | 22 | 9-22 | 0-6 | 4-7 | 0.00 |
| 02/11 | vs MEM | 34 | 26 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 10-14 | 0.00 |
| 02/09 | vs CLE | 33 | 22 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 10-12 | 0.00 |
| 02/07 | @ CHI | 33 | 22 | 7-12 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/04 | @ NYK | 45 | 30 | 10-27 | 1-13 | 9-12 | 0.00 |
| 02/03 | @ DET | 33 | 24 | 9-19 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/01 | vs OKC | 29 | 16 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/30 | vs LAC | 25 | 31 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 13-17 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | @ MIA | 19 | 21 | 9-14 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/27 | @ ORL | 38 | 34 | 11-22 | 0-0 | 12-13 | 0.00 |