Nikola Jokić
20
Points Stability
29.5
Median PTS
31.0
Mean PTS
0.33
CV
13.8
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
20.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
23.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
29.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
36.8
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
40.1
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
18
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
61
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
6.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 20 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01 | vs MIN | 37 | 35 | 15-26 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/27 | @ OKC | 45 | 23 | 9-25 | 2-10 | 3-5 | 0.00 |
| 02/25 | vs BOS | 33 | 30 | 11-28 | 4-13 | 4-7 | 0.00 |
| 02/22 | @ GSW | 36 | 35 | 11-21 | 3-4 | 10-11 | 0.00 |
| 02/20 | @ POR | 29 | 32 | 10-15 | 3-4 | 9-11 | 0.00 |
| 02/19 | @ LAC | 36 | 22 | 9-22 | 0-6 | 4-7 | 0.00 |
| 02/11 | vs MEM | 34 | 26 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 10-14 | 0.00 |
| 02/09 | vs CLE | 33 | 22 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 10-12 | 0.00 |
| 02/07 | @ CHI | 33 | 22 | 7-12 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/04 | @ NYK | 45 | 30 | 10-27 | 1-13 | 9-12 | 0.00 |
| 02/03 | @ DET | 33 | 24 | 9-19 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/01 | vs OKC | 29 | 16 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/30 | vs LAC | 25 | 31 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 13-17 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | @ MIA | 19 | 21 | 9-14 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/27 | @ ORL | 38 | 34 | 11-22 | 0-0 | 12-13 | 0.00 |
| 12/25 | vs MIN | 43 | 56 | 15-21 | 4-6 | 22-23 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | @ DAL | 36 | 29 | 12-22 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/22 | vs UTA | 29 | 14 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/20 | vs HOU | 29 | 25 | 9-20 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 0.00 |
| 12/18 | vs ORL | 38 | 23 | 10-17 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/15 | vs HOU | 42 | 39 | 13-27 | 5-9 | 8-11 | 0.00 |
| 12/11 | @ SAC | 29 | 36 | 14-16 | 2-2 | 6-8 | 0.00 |
| 04/13 | @ HOU | 31 | 18 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/11 | vs MEM | 41 | 26 | 11-19 | 1-2 | 3-7 | 0.00 |
| 04/09 | @ SAC | 38 | 20 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 10-10 | 0.00 |