Luka Dončić
15
Points Stability
30.5
Median PTS
29.5
Mean PTS
0.28
CV
11.8
IQR
Efficiency-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
19.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
22.3
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
30.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
34.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
39.6
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
14
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
45
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
4.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 30 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/13 | vs ATL | 33 | 27 | 7-16 | 5-9 | 8-10 | 0.00 |
| 01/12 | @ SAC | 37 | 42 | 16-25 | 2-9 | 8-8 | 0.00 |
| 01/09 | vs MIL | 36 | 24 | 8-25 | 4-6 | 4-8 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | @ SAS | 38 | 38 | 13-26 | 2-9 | 10-16 | 1.00 |
| 01/06 | @ NOP | 37 | 30 | 11-22 | 3-10 | 5-9 | 0.00 |
| 01/04 | vs MEM | 39 | 36 | 10-20 | 4-10 | 12-13 | 0.00 |
| 01/02 | vs MEM | 38 | 34 | 8-18 | 1-7 | 17-20 | 0.00 |
| 12/30 | vs DET | 36 | 30 | 9-22 | 3-11 | 9-13 | 0.00 |
| 12/28 | vs SAC | 33 | 34 | 11-23 | 5-14 | 7-8 | 0.00 |
| 12/25 | vs HOU | 34 | 25 | 9-17 | 3-8 | 4-7 | 0.00 |
| 12/20 | @ LAC | 20 | 12 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 0.00 |
| 12/18 | @ UTA | 40 | 45 | 14-28 | 4-12 | 13-16 | 0.00 |
| 12/14 | @ PHX | 38 | 29 | 7-25 | 2-14 | 13-14 | 0.00 |
| 12/10 | vs SAS | 41 | 35 | 11-24 | 3-8 | 10-14 | 0.00 |
| 04/11 | vs HOU | 31 | 39 | 13-19 | 5-9 | 8-14 | 0.00 |
| 04/09 | @ DAL | 38 | 45 | 16-28 | 7-10 | 6-9 | 0.00 |
| 04/08 | @ OKC | 31 | 23 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 6-7 | 0.00 |
| 04/06 | @ OKC | 37 | 30 | 11-20 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 04/04 | vs NOP | 36 | 35 | 10-21 | 4-10 | 11-11 | 0.00 |
| 04/03 | vs GSW | 38 | 19 | 6-17 | 0-6 | 7-7 | 0.00 |
| 03/31 | vs HOU | 38 | 20 | 6-16 | 1-7 | 7-9 | 0.00 |
| 03/29 | @ MEM | 38 | 29 | 8-18 | 2-9 | 11-12 | 0.00 |
| 03/27 | @ CHI | 38 | 25 | 8-22 | 4-12 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 03/26 | @ IND | 38 | 34 | 11-21 | 6-10 | 6-7 | 0.00 |
| 03/24 | @ ORL | 38 | 32 | 9-23 | 4-10 | 10-11 | 0.00 |
| 03/22 | vs CHI | 32 | 34 | 10-18 | 8-13 | 6-8 | 0.00 |
| 03/19 | vs DEN | 32 | 31 | 10-21 | 4-9 | 7-10 | 0.00 |
| 03/17 | vs SAS | 34 | 21 | 5-20 | 1-7 | 10-13 | 0.00 |
| 03/16 | vs PHX | 40 | 33 | 8-20 | 4-11 | 13-14 | 0.00 |
| 03/13 | @ MIL | 36 | 45 | 14-27 | 7-13 | 10-12 | 0.00 |
| 03/10 | @ BKN | 41 | 22 | 8-26 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/08 | @ BOS | 37 | 34 | 11-22 | 5-10 | 7-8 | 0.00 |
| 03/06 | vs NYK | 43 | 32 | 9-23 | 4-12 | 10-12 | 0.00 |
| 03/04 | vs NOP | 34 | 30 | 9-19 | 6-13 | 6-11 | 0.00 |
| 03/02 | vs LAC | 37 | 29 | 9-17 | 5-12 | 6-9 | 0.00 |