Luka Dončić

Los Angeles Lakers

10 15 20 30 50 82
30
Points Stability
32.0
Median PTS
31.6
Mean PTS
0.25
CV
8.0
IQR
Efficiency-driven
Volatility Driver

Points Distribution

P10 21.2 10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25 27.0 25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50 32.0 Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75 35.0 75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90 42.6 90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min 19 Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max 45 Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD 3.0 Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.

Points Over Last 15 Games

Prop Line Analysis

Recent Scoring

Date Opp MIN PTS FG 3P FT PPM
03/01 vs SAC 29 28 10-16 4-8 4-7 0.00
02/28 @ GSW 29 26 9-17 4-9 4-4 0.00
02/26 @ PHX 39 41 12-21 6-11 11-12 0.00
02/24 vs ORL 38 22 8-24 2-10 4-9 0.00
02/22 vs BOS 33 25 9-22 4-7 3-6 0.00
02/20 vs LAC 38 38 11-25 8-14 8-11 1.00
02/05 vs PHI 16 10 3-10 0-4 4-4 0.00
02/03 @ BKN 29 24 8-18 4-11 4-6 0.00
02/01 @ NYK 37 30 10-23 5-14 5-6 0.00
01/30 @ WAS 31 37 13-21 6-13 5-7 0.00
01/28 @ CLE 30 29 12-20 3-8 2-6 0.00
01/26 @ CHI 38 46 15-25 8-14 8-12 0.00
01/24 @ DAL 39 33 8-15 3-8 14-15 0.00
01/22 @ LAC 39 32 11-27 3-13 7-10 0.00
01/20 @ DEN 36 38 12-21 3-9 11-12 0.00
01/18 vs TOR 34 25 8-23 5-12 4-5 0.00
01/15 vs CHA 36 39 15-26 6-11 3-7 0.00
01/13 vs ATL 33 27 7-16 5-9 8-10 0.00
01/12 @ SAC 37 42 16-25 2-9 8-8 0.00
01/09 vs MIL 36 24 8-25 4-6 4-8 0.00