Luka Dončić

Los Angeles Lakers

10 15 20 30 50 82
30
Points Stability
32.0
Median PTS
31.6
Mean PTS
0.25
CV
8.0
IQR
Efficiency-driven
Volatility Driver

Points Distribution

P10 21.2 10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25 27.0 25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50 32.0 Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75 35.0 75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90 42.6 90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min 19 Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max 45 Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD 3.0 Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.

Points Over Last 15 Games

Prop Line Analysis

Recent Scoring

Date Opp MIN PTS FG 3P FT PPM
01/13 vs ATL 33 27 7-16 5-9 8-10 0.00
01/12 @ SAC 37 42 16-25 2-9 8-8 0.00
01/09 vs MIL 36 24 8-25 4-6 4-8 0.00
01/07 @ SAS 38 38 13-26 2-9 10-16 1.00
01/06 @ NOP 37 30 11-22 3-10 5-9 0.00
01/04 vs MEM 39 36 10-20 4-10 12-13 0.00
01/02 vs MEM 38 34 8-18 1-7 17-20 0.00
12/30 vs DET 36 30 9-22 3-11 9-13 0.00
12/28 vs SAC 33 34 11-23 5-14 7-8 0.00
12/25 vs HOU 34 25 9-17 3-8 4-7 0.00
12/20 @ LAC 20 12 4-13 1-6 3-5 0.00
12/18 @ UTA 40 45 14-28 4-12 13-16 0.00
12/14 @ PHX 38 29 7-25 2-14 13-14 0.00
12/10 vs SAS 41 35 11-24 3-8 10-14 0.00
04/11 vs HOU 31 39 13-19 5-9 8-14 0.00
04/09 @ DAL 38 45 16-28 7-10 6-9 0.00
04/08 @ OKC 31 23 7-15 3-7 6-7 0.00
04/06 @ OKC 37 30 11-20 5-11 3-4 0.00
04/04 vs NOP 36 35 10-21 4-10 11-11 0.00
04/03 vs GSW 38 19 6-17 0-6 7-7 0.00