Luka Dončić
17
Points Stability
31.5
Median PTS
31.3
Mean PTS
0.26
CV
10.5
IQR
Efficiency-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
20.9
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
24.5
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
31.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
35.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
45.0
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
19
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
45
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
5.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 20 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/28 | @ GSW | 29 | 26 | 9-17 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 02/26 | @ PHX | 39 | 41 | 12-21 | 6-11 | 11-12 | 0.00 |
| 02/24 | vs ORL | 38 | 22 | 8-24 | 2-10 | 4-9 | 0.00 |
| 02/22 | vs BOS | 33 | 25 | 9-22 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/20 | vs LAC | 38 | 38 | 11-25 | 8-14 | 8-11 | 1.00 |
| 02/05 | vs PHI | 16 | 10 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 02/03 | @ BKN | 29 | 24 | 8-18 | 4-11 | 4-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/01 | @ NYK | 37 | 30 | 10-23 | 5-14 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 01/30 | @ WAS | 31 | 37 | 13-21 | 6-13 | 5-7 | 0.00 |
| 01/28 | @ CLE | 30 | 29 | 12-20 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0.00 |
| 01/26 | @ CHI | 38 | 46 | 15-25 | 8-14 | 8-12 | 0.00 |
| 01/24 | @ DAL | 39 | 33 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 14-15 | 0.00 |
| 01/22 | @ LAC | 39 | 32 | 11-27 | 3-13 | 7-10 | 0.00 |
| 01/20 | @ DEN | 36 | 38 | 12-21 | 3-9 | 11-12 | 0.00 |
| 01/18 | vs TOR | 34 | 25 | 8-23 | 5-12 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 01/15 | vs CHA | 36 | 39 | 15-26 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 0.00 |
| 01/13 | vs ATL | 33 | 27 | 7-16 | 5-9 | 8-10 | 0.00 |
| 01/12 | @ SAC | 37 | 42 | 16-25 | 2-9 | 8-8 | 0.00 |
| 01/09 | vs MIL | 36 | 24 | 8-25 | 4-6 | 4-8 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | @ SAS | 38 | 38 | 13-26 | 2-9 | 10-16 | 1.00 |
| 01/06 | @ NOP | 37 | 30 | 11-22 | 3-10 | 5-9 | 0.00 |
| 01/04 | vs MEM | 39 | 36 | 10-20 | 4-10 | 12-13 | 0.00 |
| 01/02 | vs MEM | 38 | 34 | 8-18 | 1-7 | 17-20 | 0.00 |
| 12/30 | vs DET | 36 | 30 | 9-22 | 3-11 | 9-13 | 0.00 |
| 12/28 | vs SAC | 33 | 34 | 11-23 | 5-14 | 7-8 | 0.00 |