Chet Holmgren
8
Points Stability
14.5
Median PTS
15.0
Mean PTS
0.46
CV
9.0
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
4.9
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
11.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
14.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
20.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
22.1
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
29
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
5.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 30 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/13 | vs SAS | 25 | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 01/11 | vs MIA | 32 | 16 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | vs UTA | 40 | 23 | 9-15 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 0.00 |
| 01/05 | vs CHA | 26 | 15 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 0.00 |
| 01/04 | @ PHX | 33 | 18 | 8-11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0.00 |
| 01/02 | @ GSW | 26 | 15 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/31 | vs POR | 25 | 12 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | vs ATL | 31 | 24 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/28 | vs PHI | 29 | 29 | 12-17 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 1.00 |
| 12/25 | vs SAS | 31 | 10 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | @ SAS | 27 | 7 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/19 | @ MIN | 25 | 14 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 12/18 | vs LAC | 31 | 22 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/13 | vs SAS | 30 | 17 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 10-12 | 0.00 |
| 12/10 | vs PHX | 25 | 24 | 9-13 | 4-4 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 04/09 | @ PHX | 30 | 22 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 12-13 | 0.00 |
| 04/08 | vs LAL | 25 | 14 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 04/06 | vs LAL | 25 | 10 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/04 | @ HOU | 31 | 20 | 6-10 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/02 | vs DET | 33 | 22 | 7-14 | 0-5 | 8-9 | 0.00 |
| 03/31 | vs CHI | 26 | 5 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/27 | vs MEM | 25 | 4 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/25 | @ SAC | 33 | 18 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/21 | vs CHA | 28 | 14 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/19 | vs PHI | 23 | 19 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 03/16 | @ MIL | 35 | 16 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/12 | @ BOS | 34 | 23 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 0.00 |
| 03/10 | vs DEN | 29 | 8 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 03/09 | vs DEN | 26 | 14 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 03/03 | vs HOU | 30 | 11 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 02/28 | @ ATL | 15 | 7 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/26 | @ BKN | 32 | 22 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 0.00 |
| 02/23 | @ MIN | 28 | 19 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/21 | @ UTA | 28 | 20 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/13 | @ MIN | 30 | 11 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 0.00 |