Chet Holmgren
15
Points Stability
18.5
Median PTS
17.0
Mean PTS
0.36
CV
8.0
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
9.5
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
14.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
18.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
22.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
22.2
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
5
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
24
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
4.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 10 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01 | @ DAL | 28 | 19 | 8-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/27 | vs DEN | 38 | 15 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/24 | @ TOR | 30 | 7 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 02/22 | vs CLE | 34 | 17 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 6-9 | 0.00 |
| 02/20 | vs BKN | 26 | 15 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 7-7 | 0.00 |
| 02/12 | vs MIL | 27 | 16 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/11 | @ PHX | 21 | 13 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 0.00 |
| 02/09 | @ LAL | 31 | 13 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/07 | vs HOU | 35 | 17 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 0.00 |
| 02/03 | vs ORL | 27 | 16 | 7-12 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 02/01 | @ DEN | 28 | 14 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 7-8 | 0.00 |
| 01/29 | @ MIN | 30 | 15 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/27 | vs NOP | 33 | 20 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 01/25 | vs TOR | 29 | 11 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/23 | vs IND | 33 | 25 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 0.00 |