Chet Holmgren
15
Points Stability
18.5
Median PTS
17.0
Mean PTS
0.36
CV
8.0
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
9.5
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
14.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
18.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
22.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
22.2
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
5
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
24
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
4.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 10 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/15 | @ HOU | 29 | 18 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 01/13 | vs SAS | 25 | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 01/11 | vs MIA | 32 | 16 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | vs UTA | 40 | 23 | 9-15 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 0.00 |
| 01/05 | vs CHA | 26 | 15 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 0.00 |
| 01/04 | @ PHX | 33 | 18 | 8-11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0.00 |
| 01/02 | @ GSW | 26 | 15 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/31 | vs POR | 25 | 12 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | vs ATL | 31 | 24 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/28 | vs PHI | 29 | 29 | 12-17 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 1.00 |
| 12/25 | vs SAS | 31 | 10 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | @ SAS | 27 | 7 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/19 | @ MIN | 25 | 14 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 12/18 | vs LAC | 31 | 22 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/13 | vs SAS | 30 | 17 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 10-12 | 0.00 |