Chet Holmgren

Oklahoma City Thunder

10 15 20 30 50 82
17
Points Stability
17.0
Median PTS
16.1
Mean PTS
0.38
CV
7.0
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver

Points Distribution

P10 7.0 10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25 14.0 25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50 17.0 Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75 21.0 75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90 22.0 90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min 4 Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max 24 Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD 3.0 Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.

Points Over Last 15 Games

Prop Line Analysis

Recent Scoring

Date Opp MIN PTS FG 3P FT PPM
01/13 vs SAS 25 8 1-4 0-2 6-6 0.00
01/11 vs MIA 32 16 7-13 1-4 1-2 0.00
01/07 vs UTA 40 23 9-15 0-3 5-8 0.00
01/05 vs CHA 26 15 5-11 1-4 4-6 0.00
01/04 @ PHX 33 18 8-11 2-5 0-1 0.00
01/02 @ GSW 26 15 5-8 1-3 4-4 0.00
12/31 vs POR 25 12 5-10 1-3 1-2 0.00
12/29 vs ATL 31 24 9-14 2-4 4-4 0.00
12/28 vs PHI 29 29 12-17 2-4 3-4 1.00
12/25 vs SAS 31 10 5-9 0-2 0-2 0.00
12/23 @ SAS 27 7 3-10 1-3 0-0 0.00
12/19 @ MIN 25 14 4-9 0-2 6-6 0.00
12/18 vs LAC 31 22 8-13 3-5 3-3 0.00
12/13 vs SAS 30 17 3-8 1-3 10-12 0.00
12/10 vs PHX 25 24 9-13 4-4 2-3 0.00
04/09 @ PHX 30 22 5-12 0-2 12-13 0.00
04/08 vs LAL 25 14 5-12 2-3 2-3 0.00
04/06 vs LAL 25 10 4-6 2-3 0-0 0.00
04/04 @ HOU 31 20 6-10 6-8 2-2 0.00
04/02 vs DET 33 22 7-14 0-5 8-9 0.00