Trendon Watford
14
Points Stability
12.0
Median PTS
12.9
Mean PTS
0.46
CV
6.5
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
6.4
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
8.5
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
12.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
15.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
21.2
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
6
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
26
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
3.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 15 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01 | @ BOS | 15 | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/26 | vs MIA | 11 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/24 | @ IND | 15 | 12 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/22 | @ MIN | 3 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 02/19 | vs ATL | 16 | 4 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/11 | vs NYK | 25 | 6 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/09 | @ POR | 25 | 12 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/07 | @ PHX | 27 | 6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/05 | @ LAL | 16 | 6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/03 | @ GSW | 27 | 16 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/02 | @ LAC | 11 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/31 | vs NOP | 17 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/27 | vs MIL | 6 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/26 | @ CHA | 17 | 3 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/24 | vs NYK | 10 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/22 | vs HOU | 11 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/20 | vs PHX | 6 | - | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/19 | vs IND | 12 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/16 | vs CLE | 10 | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/14 | vs CLE | 17 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |