Trendon Watford
16
Points Stability
10.0
Median PTS
11.7
Mean PTS
0.49
CV
7.3
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
6.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
7.3
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
10.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
14.5
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
20.2
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
6
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
22
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
3.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 10 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/14 | vs CLE | 17 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/12 | @ TOR | 1 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/11 | @ TOR | 2 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/07 | vs WAS | 5 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 04/13 | vs NYK | 33 | 20 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 0.00 |
| 04/11 | @ MIN | 32 | 15 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/10 | vs ATL | 20 | 8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 04/08 | vs NOP | 23 | 22 | 7-8 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 04/06 | vs TOR | 22 | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 0.00 |
| 04/03 | vs MIN | 27 | 11 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/31 | @ DAL | 24 | 6 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/29 | @ WAS | 24 | 7 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/28 | vs LAC | 20 | 6 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/26 | vs TOR | 26 | 9 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 03/24 | vs DAL | 28 | 12 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0.00 |