Sam Merrill
15
Points Stability
6.0
Median PTS
7.3
Mean PTS
0.61
CV
6.3
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
2.9
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
4.3
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
6.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
10.5
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
14.0
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
16
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
3.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 30 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/14 | @ PHI | 10 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/12 | vs UTA | 28 | 14 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 01/10 | vs MIN | 26 | 20 | 5-7 | 5-6 | 5-5 | 0.00 |
| 01/08 | @ MIN | 31 | 22 | 7-13 | 5-11 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 01/06 | @ IND | 31 | 19 | 6-12 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/04 | vs DET | 27 | 15 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/31 | vs PHX | 23 | 16 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | @ SAS | 26 | 5 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/27 | @ HOU | 25 | 13 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0.00 |
| 12/25 | @ NYK | 29 | 11 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | vs NOP | 26 | 22 | 7-12 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/22 | vs CHA | 26 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/10 | @ IND | 29 | 15 | 5-9 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/08 | vs CHI | 22 | 9 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/06 | vs SAC | 16 | - | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 04/04 | @ SAS | 24 | 9 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/02 | vs NYK | 23 | 5 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/30 | vs LAC | 22 | 6 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/28 | @ DET | 20 | 6 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/27 | vs SAS | 24 | 13 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/25 | @ POR | 30 | 14 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/23 | @ UTA | 25 | 6 | 2-9 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/21 | @ PHX | 18 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/19 | @ SAC | 12 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 03/18 | @ LAC | 14 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/16 | vs ORL | 19 | 5 | 2-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/14 | @ MEM | 22 | 14 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/11 | vs BKN | 27 | 6 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 03/09 | @ MIL | 20 | 9 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/07 | @ CHA | 19 | 12 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/05 | vs MIA | 16 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/04 | @ CHI | 15 | 11 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/02 | vs POR | 21 | 9 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/28 | @ BOS | 18 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/25 | @ ORL | 19 | 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0.00 |