Sam Merrill
21
Points Stability
7.5
Median PTS
8.3
Mean PTS
0.56
CV
6.0
IQR
Minutes-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
4.5
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
6.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
7.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
12.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
14.1
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
15
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
2.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 10 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01 | @ BKN | 27 | 15 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 02/27 | @ DET | 36 | 20 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 02/25 | @ MIL | 34 | 14 | 6-13 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/24 | vs NYK | 21 | - | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 02/22 | @ OKC | 29 | 20 | 7-12 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/20 | @ CHA | 24 | 10 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/19 | vs BKN | 22 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/11 | vs WAS | 25 | 32 | 11-12 | 9-10 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 02/09 | @ DEN | 25 | 9 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/07 | @ SAC | 24 | 2 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/04 | @ LAC | 21 | 11 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/01 | @ POR | 29 | 22 | 7-9 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/30 | @ PHX | 19 | 10 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/28 | vs LAL | 24 | 4 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/14 | @ PHI | 10 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |