Peyton Watson
7
Points Stability
8.0
Median PTS
8.8
Mean PTS
0.73
CV
8.0
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
1.8
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
4.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
8.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
12.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
16.5
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
24
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
4.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 20 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/14 | @ DAL | 31 | 18 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 01/13 | @ NOP | 39 | 31 | 11-16 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 0.00 |
| 01/11 | vs MIL | 39 | 19 | 7-19 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/09 | vs ATL | 34 | 25 | 9-19 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | @ BOS | 37 | 30 | 10-15 | 6-7 | 4-8 | 0.00 |
| 01/05 | @ PHI | 44 | 24 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 8-10 | 0.00 |
| 01/04 | @ BKN | 29 | 23 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 0.00 |
| 01/02 | @ CLE | 40 | 21 | 9-22 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/31 | @ TOR | 36 | 24 | 9-19 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | @ MIA | 32 | 11 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/27 | @ ORL | 35 | 15 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/25 | vs MIN | 42 | 9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | @ DAL | 24 | 4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/22 | vs UTA | 28 | 20 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/15 | vs HOU | 6 | 5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/11 | @ SAC | 23 | 21 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 5-8 | 0.00 |
| 04/13 | @ HOU | 17 | 9 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/11 | vs MEM | 20 | 8 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/09 | @ SAC | 25 | 7 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 04/06 | vs IND | 22 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/04 | @ GSW | 33 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/01 | vs MIN | 45 | 7 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/28 | vs UTA | 27 | 8 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/26 | vs MIL | 34 | 12 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/24 | vs CHI | 39 | 24 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 0.00 |