Peyton Watson

Denver Nuggets

10 15 20 30 50 82
24
Points Stability
7.5
Median PTS
8.4
Mean PTS
0.61
CV
3.3
IQR
Efficiency-driven
Volatility Driver

Points Distribution

P10 3.9 10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25 5.5 25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50 7.5 Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75 8.8 75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90 12.9 90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min 3 Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max 21 Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD 2.0 Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.

Points Over Last 10 Games

Prop Line Analysis

Recent Scoring

Date Opp MIN PTS FG 3P FT PPM
01/14 @ DAL 31 18 6-12 2-5 4-5 0.00
01/13 @ NOP 39 31 11-16 1-4 8-9 0.00
01/11 vs MIL 39 19 7-19 4-6 1-2 0.00
01/09 vs ATL 34 25 9-19 2-4 5-7 0.00
01/07 @ BOS 37 30 10-15 6-7 4-8 0.00
01/05 @ PHI 44 24 7-13 2-3 8-10 0.00
01/04 @ BKN 29 23 8-14 1-4 6-7 0.00
01/02 @ CLE 40 21 9-22 2-9 1-2 0.00
12/31 @ TOR 36 24 9-19 1-6 5-7 0.00
12/29 @ MIA 32 11 4-10 0-2 3-4 0.00
12/27 @ ORL 35 15 6-9 1-3 2-2 0.00
12/25 vs MIN 42 9 3-5 1-2 2-2 0.00
12/23 @ DAL 24 4 0-3 0-2 4-4 0.00
12/22 vs UTA 28 20 7-9 3-4 3-4 0.00
12/15 vs HOU 6 5 2-4 1-2 0-0 0.00