Paul Reed
29
Points Stability
2.5
Median PTS
3.4
Mean PTS
0.78
CV
3.8
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
0.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
2.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
2.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
5.8
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
7.1
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
9
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
1.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 30 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | vs LAC | 22 | 8 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | vs CHI | 26 | 9 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/05 | vs NYK | 26 | 8 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/04 | @ CLE | 30 | 8 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/01 | vs MIA | 12 | 9 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/30 | @ LAL | 8 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 12/28 | @ LAC | 6 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 12/26 | @ UTA | 4 | - | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/22 | @ POR | 4 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/20 | vs CHA | 2 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/18 | @ DAL | 6 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/12 | vs ATL | 5 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/13 | @ MIL | 22 | 8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/11 | vs MIL | 9 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/05 | vs MEM | 11 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/04 | @ TOR | 12 | - | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 04/02 | @ OKC | 15 | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/30 | @ MIN | 14 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/25 | vs SAS | 4 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/17 | @ NOP | 10 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/11 | vs WAS | 2 | - | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 03/03 | @ UTA | 17 | 6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/01 | vs BKN | 4 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/28 | vs DEN | 12 | 8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/26 | vs BOS | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0.00 |
| 02/23 | @ ATL | 4 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/21 | @ SAS | 3 | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/11 | @ CHI | 10 | 5 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/07 | vs PHI | 7 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/05 | vs CLE | 8 | 7 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/31 | vs DAL | 18 | 6 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/29 | @ IND | 9 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/27 | @ CLE | 3 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/25 | @ ORL | 1 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/22 | @ ATL | 3 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |