Paul Reed
29
Points Stability
3.5
Median PTS
3.9
Mean PTS
0.70
CV
1.8
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
1.8
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
2.3
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
3.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
4.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
8.1
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
9
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
1.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 10 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01 | @ ORL | 14 | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 02/27 | vs CLE | 11 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/25 | vs OKC | 17 | 8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 02/23 | vs SAS | 20 | 10 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/21 | @ CHI | 19 | 15 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 02/19 | @ NYK | 29 | 18 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 02/11 | @ TOR | 33 | 22 | 10-17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/09 | @ CHA | 18 | 12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 0.00 |
| 02/06 | vs NYK | 27 | 12 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/05 | vs WAS | 13 | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/01 | vs BKN | 8 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/29 | @ PHX | 4 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/25 | vs SAC | 5 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/17 | vs IND | 10 | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/10 | vs LAC | 22 | 8 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 0.00 |