Matas Buzelis
10
Points Stability
8.5
Median PTS
9.0
Mean PTS
0.74
CV
7.0
IQR
Minutes-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
2.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
5.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
8.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
12.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
17.0
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
31
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
3.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 82 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01 | vs MIL | 32 | 20 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/26 | vs POR | 36 | 20 | 6-16 | 2-8 | 6-9 | 0.00 |
| 02/24 | vs CHA | 33 | 32 | 13-19 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/22 | vs NYK | 26 | 15 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 02/21 | vs DET | 30 | 15 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 02/19 | vs TOR | 31 | 4 | 2-10 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/11 | @ BOS | 29 | 15 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/09 | @ BKN | 26 | 18 | 5-15 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/07 | vs DEN | 30 | 21 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 02/05 | @ TOR | 33 | 18 | 7-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/03 | @ MIL | 36 | 22 | 8-16 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/01 | @ MIA | 21 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/31 | @ MIA | 33 | 21 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/29 | vs MIA | 34 | 16 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 01/28 | @ IND | 32 | 20 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/26 | vs LAL | 22 | 11 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/24 | vs BOS | 32 | 14 | 5-13 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/22 | @ MIN | 28 | 12 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/20 | vs LAC | 30 | 21 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/18 | vs BKN | 27 | 17 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/16 | @ BKN | 32 | 15 | 4-15 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 01/14 | vs UTA | 19 | 7 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/13 | @ HOU | 37 | 19 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/10 | vs DAL | 25 | 15 | 7-16 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | @ DET | 33 | 20 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 01/05 | @ BOS | 31 | 26 | 9-12 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 01/03 | vs CHA | 34 | 17 | 6-16 | 2-8 | 3-6 | 0.00 |
| 01/02 | vs ORL | 30 | 21 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 7-8 | 0.00 |
| 12/31 | vs NOP | 27 | 19 | 8-17 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | vs MIN | 24 | 13 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/27 | vs MIL | 22 | 8 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/26 | vs PHI | 20 | 10 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | @ ATL | 18 | 15 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 12/21 | @ ATL | 29 | 28 | 10-11 | 7-8 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/19 | @ CLE | 33 | 24 | 9-15 | 2-8 | 4-6 | 0.00 |
| 12/17 | vs CLE | 22 | 9 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/14 | vs NOP | 24 | 9 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/12 | @ CHA | 24 | 10 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/13 | @ PHI | 14 | 7 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/11 | vs WAS | 32 | 20 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 04/09 | vs MIA | 34 | 17 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/08 | @ CLE | 27 | 19 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 5-7 | 0.00 |
| 04/06 | @ CHA | 24 | 10 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/04 | vs POR | 34 | 12 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0.00 |
| 04/01 | vs TOR | 29 | 9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/31 | @ OKC | 31 | 14 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/29 | vs DAL | 38 | 28 | 10-17 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/27 | vs LAL | 25 | 12 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 03/24 | @ DEN | 24 | 10 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/22 | @ LAL | 30 | 31 | 12-18 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/20 | @ SAC | 15 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/19 | @ PHX | 25 | 5 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 03/17 | @ UTA | 30 | 17 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/15 | @ HOU | 19 | 10 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/13 | vs BKN | 15 | 6 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/10 | vs IND | 24 | 8 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/08 | @ MIA | 32 | 13 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/06 | @ ORL | 29 | 11 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 03/04 | vs CLE | 31 | 17 | 7-17 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/02 | @ IND | 30 | 18 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/28 | vs TOR | 25 | 10 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/26 | vs LAC | 26 | 5 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/24 | @ PHI | 36 | 17 | 6-17 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 02/22 | vs PHX | 24 | 15 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/20 | @ NYK | 24 | 5 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/12 | vs DET | 26 | 11 | 5-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/11 | vs DET | 19 | 12 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/08 | vs GSW | 29 | 16 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 02/05 | @ MIN | 29 | 14 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 6-9 | 0.00 |
| 02/04 | vs MIA | 31 | 24 | 10-10 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/02 | @ DET | 26 | 12 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/31 | @ TOR | 26 | 12 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/29 | @ BOS | 22 | 12 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/27 | vs DEN | 20 | 9 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/25 | vs PHI | 12 | 6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/23 | @ GSW | 11 | 3 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 01/20 | @ LAC | 13 | 5 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/19 | @ POR | 15 | 7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/17 | vs CHA | 4 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/15 | vs ATL | 17 | 8 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/14 | vs NOP | 12 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/12 | vs SAC | 13 | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/10 | vs WAS | 16 | 8 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/08 | @ IND | 13 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/06 | vs SAS | 12 | - | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/04 | vs NYK | 2 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1.00 |
| 01/01 | @ WAS | 14 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |