Matas Buzelis
15
Points Stability
11.0
Median PTS
13.9
Mean PTS
0.53
CV
8.5
IQR
Minutes-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
6.8
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
9.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
11.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
17.5
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
24.4
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
5
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
31
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
3.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 20 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/14 | vs UTA | 19 | 7 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/13 | @ HOU | 37 | 19 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/10 | vs DAL | 25 | 15 | 7-16 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | @ DET | 33 | 20 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 01/05 | @ BOS | 31 | 26 | 9-12 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 01/03 | vs CHA | 34 | 17 | 6-16 | 2-8 | 3-6 | 0.00 |
| 01/02 | vs ORL | 30 | 21 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 7-8 | 0.00 |
| 12/31 | vs NOP | 27 | 19 | 8-17 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | vs MIN | 24 | 13 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/27 | vs MIL | 22 | 8 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/26 | vs PHI | 20 | 10 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | @ ATL | 18 | 15 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 12/21 | @ ATL | 29 | 28 | 10-11 | 7-8 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/19 | @ CLE | 33 | 24 | 9-15 | 2-8 | 4-6 | 0.00 |
| 12/17 | vs CLE | 22 | 9 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/14 | vs NOP | 24 | 9 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/12 | @ CHA | 24 | 10 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/13 | @ PHI | 14 | 7 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/11 | vs WAS | 32 | 20 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 04/09 | vs MIA | 34 | 17 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/08 | @ CLE | 27 | 19 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 5-7 | 0.00 |
| 04/06 | @ CHA | 24 | 10 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/04 | vs POR | 34 | 12 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0.00 |
| 04/01 | vs TOR | 29 | 9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/31 | @ OKC | 31 | 14 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 0.00 |