Matas Buzelis
15
Points Stability
11.0
Median PTS
13.9
Mean PTS
0.53
CV
8.5
IQR
Minutes-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
6.8
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
9.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
11.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
17.5
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
24.4
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
5
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
31
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
3.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 20 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01 | vs MIL | 32 | 20 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/26 | vs POR | 36 | 20 | 6-16 | 2-8 | 6-9 | 0.00 |
| 02/24 | vs CHA | 33 | 32 | 13-19 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/22 | vs NYK | 26 | 15 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 02/21 | vs DET | 30 | 15 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 02/19 | vs TOR | 31 | 4 | 2-10 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/11 | @ BOS | 29 | 15 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/09 | @ BKN | 26 | 18 | 5-15 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/07 | vs DEN | 30 | 21 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 02/05 | @ TOR | 33 | 18 | 7-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/03 | @ MIL | 36 | 22 | 8-16 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/01 | @ MIA | 21 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/31 | @ MIA | 33 | 21 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/29 | vs MIA | 34 | 16 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 01/28 | @ IND | 32 | 20 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/26 | vs LAL | 22 | 11 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/24 | vs BOS | 32 | 14 | 5-13 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/22 | @ MIN | 28 | 12 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/20 | vs LAC | 30 | 21 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/18 | vs BKN | 27 | 17 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/16 | @ BKN | 32 | 15 | 4-15 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 01/14 | vs UTA | 19 | 7 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/13 | @ HOU | 37 | 19 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/10 | vs DAL | 25 | 15 | 7-16 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | @ DET | 33 | 20 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0.00 |