Mark Williams
8
Points Stability
14.0
Median PTS
14.8
Mean PTS
0.41
CV
9.8
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
7.8
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
10.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
14.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
19.8
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
23.1
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
4
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
26
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
4.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 30 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/13 | @ MIA | 31 | 18 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/11 | vs WAS | 22 | 11 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 01/09 | vs NYK | 25 | 10 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | @ MEM | 27 | 12 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/05 | @ HOU | 21 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/04 | vs OKC | 21 | 8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/02 | vs SAC | 22 | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 0.00 |
| 12/31 | @ CLE | 24 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/27 | @ NOP | 11 | 10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/26 | @ NOP | 27 | 24 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | vs LAL | 21 | 18 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/20 | @ GSW | 18 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/18 | vs GSW | 19 | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/14 | vs LAL | 29 | 20 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/10 | @ OKC | 19 | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 0.00 |
| 12/08 | @ MIN | 29 | 22 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 0.00 |
| 04/11 | @ BOS | 24 | 10 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/08 | vs MEM | 31 | 8 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/06 | vs CHI | 31 | 22 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 0.00 |
| 04/02 | @ IND | 32 | 16 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 0.00 |
| 03/31 | vs UTA | 34 | 18 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/28 | @ TOR | 29 | 18 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/25 | vs ORL | 28 | 8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/23 | @ MIA | 28 | 14 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/20 | vs NYK | 31 | 19 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 03/18 | vs ATL | 23 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/16 | @ LAC | 25 | 18 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/14 | @ SAS | 29 | 14 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/12 | @ ATL | 26 | 14 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/10 | @ MIA | 29 | 24 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 0.00 |
| 03/05 | vs MIN | 24 | 12 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/03 | vs GSW | 31 | 12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/01 | vs WAS | 34 | 24 | 11-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/27 | @ DAL | 31 | 26 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 0.00 |
| 02/25 | @ GSW | 25 | 12 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |