Mark Williams
4
Points Stability
17.0
Median PTS
14.9
Mean PTS
0.41
CV
10.3
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
7.8
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
9.3
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
17.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
19.5
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
22.0
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
6
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
22
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
5.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 10 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/13 | @ MIA | 31 | 18 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/11 | vs WAS | 22 | 11 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 01/09 | vs NYK | 25 | 10 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | @ MEM | 27 | 12 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/05 | @ HOU | 21 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/04 | vs OKC | 21 | 8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/02 | vs SAC | 22 | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 0.00 |
| 12/31 | @ CLE | 24 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/27 | @ NOP | 11 | 10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/26 | @ NOP | 27 | 24 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | vs LAL | 21 | 18 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/20 | @ GSW | 18 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/18 | vs GSW | 19 | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/14 | vs LAL | 29 | 20 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/10 | @ OKC | 19 | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 0.00 |