Larry Nance Jr.
1
Points Stability
7.5
Median PTS
8.5
Mean PTS
0.74
CV
9.8
IQR
Minutes-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
0.3
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
3.5
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
7.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
13.3
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
15.7
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
21
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
5.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 30 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/14 | @ PHI | 5 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/10 | @ ORL | 19 | 8 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/08 | @ WAS | 22 | 14 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0.00 |
| 02/07 | vs MIL | 20 | 11 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/05 | vs SAS | 17 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/03 | @ DET | 20 | 12 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/01 | @ IND | 19 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/30 | @ CLE | 15 | - | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/28 | vs HOU | 20 | 6 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/25 | vs TOR | 20 | 4 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/28 | vs MIA | 27 | 10 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/26 | vs CHI | 23 | 12 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | vs MIN | 21 | 6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/21 | vs MEM | 24 | 7 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/19 | @ SAS | 31 | 21 | 8-13 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/08 | vs DEN | 24 | 16 | 6-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 11/17 | @ POR | 11 | - | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 11/15 | vs WAS | 13 | - | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 11/12 | @ BOS | 27 | 19 | 7-10 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 11/09 | vs CHI | 14 | 6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 11/08 | @ DET | 13 | 13 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 11/03 | @ NOP | 25 | 14 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 11/01 | vs SAC | 8 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 10/30 | @ WAS | 7 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 10/28 | vs WAS | 23 | 15 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |