Larry Nance Jr.
11
Points Stability
7.0
Median PTS
7.0
Mean PTS
0.68
CV
6.8
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
0.9
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
4.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
7.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
10.8
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
12.2
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
14
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
3.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 10 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/25 | @ MIL | 8 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 02/19 | vs BKN | 12 | - | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 02/11 | vs WAS | 5 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/04 | @ LAC | 8 | 8 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 02/01 | @ POR | 9 | - | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/30 | @ PHX | 10 | 9 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/28 | vs LAL | 12 | - | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/26 | vs ORL | 6 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/23 | vs SAC | 14 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/21 | @ CHA | 13 | 5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/14 | @ PHI | 5 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/10 | @ ORL | 19 | 8 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/08 | @ WAS | 22 | 14 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0.00 |
| 02/07 | vs MIL | 20 | 11 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/05 | vs SAS | 17 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0.00 |