Keon Ellis
6
Points Stability
9.0
Median PTS
8.4
Mean PTS
0.70
CV
8.3
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
1.8
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
3.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
9.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
11.3
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
14.6
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
20
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
4.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 20 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/14 | vs NYK | 5 | - | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/12 | vs LAL | 12 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/11 | vs HOU | 7 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/09 | @ GSW | 25 | 5 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/06 | vs DAL | 23 | 5 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/04 | vs MIL | 5 | - | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/02 | @ PHX | 35 | 14 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/01 | vs BOS | 27 | 16 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/30 | @ LAC | 19 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/28 | @ LAL | 22 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/27 | vs DAL | 32 | 21 | 8-15 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | vs DET | 4 | - | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/21 | vs HOU | 9 | - | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/20 | vs POR | 10 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/18 | @ POR | 32 | 10 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/11 | vs DEN | 31 | 8 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/08 | @ IND | 15 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/13 | vs PHX | 29 | 9 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/11 | vs LAC | 32 | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/09 | vs DEN | 32 | 20 | 7-12 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/07 | @ DET | 37 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/06 | @ CLE | 40 | 11 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/04 | @ CHA | 23 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/02 | @ WAS | 22 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/31 | @ IND | 27 | 9 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0.00 |