Keon Ellis
11
Points Stability
6.5
Median PTS
7.3
Mean PTS
0.77
CV
6.8
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
2.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
3.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
6.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
9.8
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
11.9
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
2
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
20
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
3.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 10 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/14 | vs NYK | 5 | - | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/12 | vs LAL | 12 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/11 | vs HOU | 7 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/09 | @ GSW | 25 | 5 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/06 | vs DAL | 23 | 5 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/04 | vs MIL | 5 | - | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/02 | @ PHX | 35 | 14 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/01 | vs BOS | 27 | 16 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/30 | @ LAC | 19 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/28 | @ LAL | 22 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/27 | vs DAL | 32 | 21 | 8-15 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | vs DET | 4 | - | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/21 | vs HOU | 9 | - | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/20 | vs POR | 10 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/18 | @ POR | 32 | 10 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 0.00 |