Keon Ellis
11
Points Stability
6.5
Median PTS
7.3
Mean PTS
0.77
CV
6.8
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
2.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
3.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
6.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
9.8
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
11.9
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
2
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
20
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
3.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 10 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01 | @ BKN | 31 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/25 | @ MIL | 29 | 14 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/24 | vs NYK | 16 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/22 | @ OKC | 23 | 9 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/20 | @ CHA | 24 | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/19 | vs BKN | 20 | 7 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/11 | vs WAS | 27 | 6 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/09 | @ DEN | 20 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/07 | @ SAC | 17 | 6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/04 | @ LAC | 19 | 6 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/30 | @ BOS | 20 | 6 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/29 | @ PHI | 20 | 10 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/27 | @ NYK | 22 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/25 | @ DET | 21 | 14 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/14 | vs NYK | 5 | - | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |