Jose Alvarado
23
Points Stability
10.0
Median PTS
10.9
Mean PTS
0.51
CV
6.3
IQR
Efficiency-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
3.9
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
7.8
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
10.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
14.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
16.1
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
3
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
27
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
3.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 20 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06 | vs LAL | 23 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/04 | @ MIA | 20 | 6 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/02 | vs POR | 21 | - | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/27 | vs PHX | 14 | 7 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/26 | vs PHX | 25 | 11 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | @ CLE | 25 | 6 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/22 | vs DAL | 16 | 6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/20 | vs IND | 22 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/18 | vs HOU | 30 | 7 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/14 | @ CHI | 18 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/11 | vs POR | 23 | 4 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/08 | vs SAS | 31 | 10 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/13 | vs OKC | 34 | 14 | 5-16 | 1-9 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 04/11 | vs MIA | 23 | 14 | 5-14 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 04/08 | @ BKN | 23 | 16 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 04/04 | @ LAL | 28 | 27 | 10-21 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0.00 |
| 04/02 | @ LAC | 27 | 17 | 7-16 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 03/30 | vs CHA | 30 | 12 | 4-16 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 03/28 | vs GSW | 27 | 10 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 03/24 | vs PHI | 28 | 9 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/23 | @ DET | 28 | 10 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/21 | @ MIN | 18 | 9 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/19 | @ MIN | 26 | 8 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/17 | vs DET | 28 | 3 | 1-10 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 0.00 |
| 03/15 | @ SAS | 28 | 7 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |