Jose Alvarado
8
Points Stability
13.0
Median PTS
12.4
Mean PTS
0.57
CV
7.8
IQR
Efficiency-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
3.9
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
7.8
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
13.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
15.5
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
18.0
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
3
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
27
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
3.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 10 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01 | vs SAS | 17 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/27 | @ MIL | 13 | 7 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/24 | @ CLE | 22 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/22 | @ CHI | 25 | 5 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/21 | vs HOU | 20 | 8 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/19 | vs DET | 21 | 6 | 3-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/11 | @ PHI | 19 | 26 | 8-13 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/10 | vs IND | 18 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/08 | @ BOS | 25 | 12 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/04 | @ MIL | 17 | 9 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/02 | @ CHA | 30 | 3 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/31 | @ PHI | 18 | 10 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 01/30 | vs MEM | 23 | 11 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/27 | @ OKC | 20 | 8 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/25 | @ SAS | 13 | 6 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |