John Collins
40
Points Stability
19.0
Median PTS
19.0
Mean PTS
0.24
CV
4.8
IQR
Efficiency-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
13.9
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
16.3
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
19.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
21.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
24.2
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
9
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
29
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
2.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 30 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12 | vs CHA | 30 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/10 | @ DET | 37 | 25 | 9-14 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/09 | @ BKN | 26 | 16 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | @ NYK | 33 | 18 | 7-9 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 01/05 | vs GSW | 39 | 18 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0.00 |
| 01/03 | vs BOS | 29 | 22 | 9-10 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 01/01 | vs UTA | 20 | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/30 | vs SAC | 22 | 16 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/26 | @ POR | 19 | 8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | vs HOU | 29 | 13 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/20 | vs LAL | 32 | 17 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 12/18 | @ OKC | 28 | 20 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 12/15 | vs MEM | 26 | 10 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/11 | @ HOU | 24 | 9 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 03/12 | @ MEM | 28 | 22 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 0.00 |
| 03/10 | @ BOS | 34 | 28 | 12-30 | 2-11 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/28 | vs MIN | 27 | 29 | 12-18 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/21 | vs OKC | 31 | 26 | 11-19 | 1-5 | 3-7 | 0.00 |
| 02/13 | vs LAC | 41 | 17 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/12 | vs LAL | 27 | 17 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 0.00 |
| 02/10 | @ LAL | 36 | 17 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 0.00 |
| 02/07 | @ PHX | 39 | 21 | 7-18 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 02/05 | vs GSW | 30 | 19 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/03 | vs IND | 32 | 21 | 9-18 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/01 | vs ORL | 33 | 19 | 8-9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 01/30 | vs MIN | 28 | 16 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 01/22 | @ OKC | 26 | 22 | 9-13 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/04 | @ MIA | 28 | 24 | 9-16 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/21 | @ BKN | 35 | 13 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 0.00 |
| 12/19 | @ DET | 37 | 16 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 12/16 | @ LAC | 38 | 14 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 0.00 |
| 12/13 | vs PHX | 35 | 22 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/08 | @ SAC | 23 | 19 | 5-12 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/06 | @ POR | 28 | 20 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 0.00 |
| 12/03 | @ OKC | 31 | 15 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0.00 |