John Collins
14
Points Stability
18.5
Median PTS
19.5
Mean PTS
0.35
CV
8.0
IQR
Efficiency-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
9.9
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
17.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
18.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
25.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
28.1
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
9
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
29
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
5.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 10 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01 | vs NOP | 25 | 15 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 02/20 | @ LAL | 16 | 12 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/19 | vs DEN | 32 | 11 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/11 | @ HOU | 35 | 12 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/10 | @ HOU | 31 | 17 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/08 | @ MIN | 29 | 15 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/06 | @ SAC | 34 | 22 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 0.00 |
| 02/04 | vs CLE | 27 | 19 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/02 | vs PHI | 32 | 15 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0.00 |
| 02/01 | @ PHX | 28 | 16 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/30 | @ DEN | 31 | 18 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0.00 |
| 01/27 | @ UTA | 23 | 11 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/25 | vs BKN | 26 | 18 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/22 | vs LAL | 33 | 13 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/20 | @ CHI | 24 | 23 | 9-12 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |