Jimmy Butler III
3
Points Stability
18.0
Median PTS
17.9
Mean PTS
0.45
CV
12.5
IQR
Minutes-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
7.8
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
11.5
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
18.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
24.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
28.2
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
35
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
6.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 50 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/13 | vs POR | 26 | 16 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 0.00 |
| 01/11 | vs ATL | 34 | 30 | 10-19 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 0.00 |
| 01/09 | vs SAC | 23 | 15 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | vs MIL | 32 | 21 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 8-9 | 0.00 |
| 01/05 | @ LAC | 33 | 24 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 9-11 | 0.00 |
| 01/03 | vs UTA | 34 | 15 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 0.00 |
| 12/31 | @ CHA | 31 | 19 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 11-12 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | @ BKN | 31 | 21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 0.00 |
| 12/28 | @ TOR | 38 | 19 | 6-16 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 0.00 |
| 12/25 | vs DAL | 32 | 14 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/22 | vs ORL | 30 | 21 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 0.00 |
| 12/20 | vs PHX | 35 | 25 | 10-21 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/18 | @ PHX | 34 | 31 | 11-17 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 0.00 |
| 12/14 | @ POR | 35 | 16 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 0.00 |
| 12/12 | vs MIN | 37 | 15 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 04/13 | vs LAC | 48 | 30 | 12-20 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 0.00 |
| 04/11 | @ POR | 28 | 24 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 11-11 | 0.00 |
| 04/09 | vs SAS | 38 | 28 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 16-17 | 0.00 |
| 04/08 | @ PHX | 20 | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 0.00 |
| 04/06 | vs HOU | 33 | 13 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 04/04 | vs DEN | 34 | 19 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 04/03 | @ LAL | 36 | 11 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/01 | @ MEM | 38 | 27 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 12-12 | 0.00 |
| 03/30 | @ SAS | 24 | 13 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/28 | @ NOP | 35 | 18 | 6-13 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 0.00 |
| 03/25 | @ MIA | 29 | 11 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 03/22 | @ ATL | 38 | 25 | 7-15 | 1-7 | 10-14 | 0.00 |
| 03/20 | vs TOR | 36 | 16 | 4-15 | 1-2 | 7-10 | 0.00 |
| 03/18 | vs MIL | 37 | 24 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 11-11 | 0.00 |
| 03/17 | vs DEN | 33 | 23 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 6-10 | 0.00 |
| 03/15 | vs NYK | 33 | 11 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/13 | vs SAC | 28 | 6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/10 | vs POR | 35 | 15 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 0.00 |
| 03/08 | vs DET | 37 | 26 | 9-17 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 0.00 |
| 03/06 | @ BKN | 35 | 25 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 10-10 | 0.00 |
| 03/04 | @ NYK | 35 | 19 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 7-9 | 0.00 |
| 03/03 | @ CHA | 31 | 13 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/27 | @ ORL | 32 | 5 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 02/25 | vs CHA | 19 | 6 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0.00 |
| 02/23 | vs DAL | 28 | 18 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 0.00 |
| 02/21 | @ SAC | 32 | 17 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 0.00 |
| 02/13 | @ HOU | 35 | 19 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/12 | @ DAL | 35 | 21 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/10 | @ MIL | 31 | 20 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 12-15 | 0.00 |
| 02/08 | @ CHI | 29 | 25 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 11-13 | 0.00 |
| 01/21 | vs POR | 27 | 13 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/19 | vs SAS | 28 | 8 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/17 | vs DEN | 33 | 18 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/02 | vs IND | 27 | 9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/01 | vs NOP | 25 | 9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/20 | vs OKC | 7 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/16 | @ DET | 44 | 35 | 12-21 | 1-3 | 10-12 | 0.00 |
| 12/12 | vs TOR | 29 | 11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 0.00 |
| 12/08 | vs CLE | 35 | 18 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 0.00 |
| 12/07 | vs PHX | 34 | 24 | 9-12 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 0.00 |