Jimmy Butler III
7
Points Stability
17.5
Median PTS
19.7
Mean PTS
0.40
CV
13.5
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
10.9
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
13.5
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
17.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
27.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
30.1
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
10
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
31
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
6.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 10 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/13 | vs POR | 26 | 16 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 0.00 |
| 01/11 | vs ATL | 34 | 30 | 10-19 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 0.00 |
| 01/09 | vs SAC | 23 | 15 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | vs MIL | 32 | 21 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 8-9 | 0.00 |
| 01/05 | @ LAC | 33 | 24 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 9-11 | 0.00 |
| 01/03 | vs UTA | 34 | 15 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 0.00 |
| 12/31 | @ CHA | 31 | 19 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 11-12 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | @ BKN | 31 | 21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 0.00 |
| 12/28 | @ TOR | 38 | 19 | 6-16 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 0.00 |
| 12/25 | vs DAL | 32 | 14 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/22 | vs ORL | 30 | 21 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 0.00 |
| 12/20 | vs PHX | 35 | 25 | 10-21 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/18 | @ PHX | 34 | 31 | 11-17 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 0.00 |
| 12/14 | @ POR | 35 | 16 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 0.00 |
| 12/12 | vs MIN | 37 | 15 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0.00 |