Jayson Tatum
16
Points Stability
25.5
Median PTS
26.4
Mean PTS
0.31
CV
12.8
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
16.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
19.3
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
25.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
32.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
35.5
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
15
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
46
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
6.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 30 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | vs CHA | 32 | 16 | 6-17 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 04/08 | @ NYK | 48 | 32 | 11-22 | 4-11 | 6-8 | 0.00 |
| 04/04 | vs PHX | 35 | 23 | 9-18 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 04/02 | vs MIA | 32 | 16 | 4-17 | 2-9 | 6-7 | 0.00 |
| 03/31 | @ MEM | 38 | 25 | 10-24 | 2-11 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 03/29 | @ SAS | 36 | 29 | 10-22 | 2-9 | 7-7 | 0.00 |
| 03/24 | @ SAC | 26 | 25 | 8-15 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0.00 |
| 03/23 | @ POR | 37 | 30 | 11-24 | 1-7 | 7-7 | 0.00 |
| 03/21 | @ UTA | 33 | 26 | 11-25 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 03/15 | @ BKN | 36 | 20 | 8-19 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 03/14 | @ MIA | 37 | 28 | 8-21 | 5-12 | 7-7 | 0.00 |
| 03/12 | vs OKC | 41 | 33 | 12-23 | 4-13 | 5-5 | 0.00 |
| 03/08 | vs LAL | 45 | 40 | 12-28 | 6-16 | 10-12 | 0.00 |
| 03/06 | vs PHI | 31 | 35 | 14-23 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/02 | vs DEN | 38 | 16 | 4-15 | 1-7 | 7-8 | 0.00 |
| 02/28 | vs CLE | 41 | 46 | 19-37 | 4-12 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 02/26 | @ DET | 33 | 27 | 10-19 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 02/25 | @ TOR | 40 | 19 | 7-18 | 3-12 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/23 | vs NYK | 37 | 25 | 8-20 | 3-10 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/20 | @ PHI | 35 | 15 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/12 | vs SAS | 38 | 32 | 12-25 | 4-14 | 4-8 | 0.00 |
| 02/10 | @ MIA | 38 | 33 | 13-26 | 4-12 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/08 | @ NYK | 37 | 40 | 13-26 | 7-14 | 7-9 | 0.00 |
| 02/06 | vs DAL | 29 | 17 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 02/04 | @ CLE | 35 | 22 | 7-23 | 3-11 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/02 | @ PHI | 44 | 35 | 13-20 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 01/31 | @ NOP | 39 | 27 | 10-21 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 0.00 |
| 01/29 | vs CHI | 32 | 16 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/27 | vs HOU | 42 | 19 | 5-14 | 1-7 | 8-8 | 0.00 |
| 01/25 | @ DAL | 35 | 24 | 8-22 | 4-12 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/23 | @ LAL | 30 | 16 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 4-7 | 0.00 |
| 01/22 | @ LAC | 43 | 24 | 9-22 | 4-13 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 01/20 | @ GSW | 28 | 22 | 9-20 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 01/18 | vs ATL | 43 | 23 | 7-21 | 2-9 | 7-8 | 0.00 |
| 01/17 | vs ORL | 35 | 30 | 12-21 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0.00 |