Jayson Tatum
32
Points Stability
25.0
Median PTS
24.2
Mean PTS
0.23
CV
7.5
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
16.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
20.8
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
25.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
28.3
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
30.2
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
16
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
32
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
4.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 10 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | vs CHA | 32 | 16 | 6-17 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 04/08 | @ NYK | 48 | 32 | 11-22 | 4-11 | 6-8 | 0.00 |
| 04/04 | vs PHX | 35 | 23 | 9-18 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 04/02 | vs MIA | 32 | 16 | 4-17 | 2-9 | 6-7 | 0.00 |
| 03/31 | @ MEM | 38 | 25 | 10-24 | 2-11 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 03/29 | @ SAS | 36 | 29 | 10-22 | 2-9 | 7-7 | 0.00 |
| 03/24 | @ SAC | 26 | 25 | 8-15 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0.00 |
| 03/23 | @ POR | 37 | 30 | 11-24 | 1-7 | 7-7 | 0.00 |
| 03/21 | @ UTA | 33 | 26 | 11-25 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 03/15 | @ BKN | 36 | 20 | 8-19 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 03/14 | @ MIA | 37 | 28 | 8-21 | 5-12 | 7-7 | 0.00 |
| 03/12 | vs OKC | 41 | 33 | 12-23 | 4-13 | 5-5 | 0.00 |
| 03/08 | vs LAL | 45 | 40 | 12-28 | 6-16 | 10-12 | 0.00 |
| 03/06 | vs PHI | 31 | 35 | 14-23 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/02 | vs DEN | 38 | 16 | 4-15 | 1-7 | 7-8 | 0.00 |