Daniel Gafford
3
Points Stability
12.0
Median PTS
12.7
Mean PTS
0.56
CV
9.3
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
4.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
8.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
12.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
17.3
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
20.2
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
2
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
31
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
4.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 20 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/14 | vs DEN | 18 | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/10 | @ CHI | 25 | 6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 01/08 | @ UTA | 25 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/06 | @ SAC | 22 | 10 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/03 | vs HOU | 19 | 9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/01 | vs PHI | 11 | 8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | @ POR | 26 | 17 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/27 | @ SAC | 23 | 11 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 12/25 | @ GSW | 15 | 6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | vs DEN | 17 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/22 | @ NOP | 14 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/20 | @ PHI | 14 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/18 | vs DET | 16 | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/15 | @ UTA | 13 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/13 | @ MEM | 19 | 20 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 04/11 | vs TOR | 20 | 12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0.00 |
| 04/09 | vs LAL | 15 | 10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/04 | @ LAC | 19 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/02 | vs ATL | 20 | 11 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/31 | vs BKN | 19 | 17 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/10 | vs SAC | 10 | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/08 | vs HOU | 26 | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0.00 |
| 02/06 | @ BOS | 34 | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/04 | @ PHI | 33 | 12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/31 | @ DET | 33 | 16 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0.00 |