Daniel Gafford
9
Points Stability
9.5
Median PTS
9.4
Mean PTS
0.63
CV
7.5
IQR
Efficiency-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
3.8
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
4.3
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
9.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
11.8
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
17.3
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
2
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
20
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
5.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 10 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/14 | vs DEN | 18 | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/10 | @ CHI | 25 | 6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 01/08 | @ UTA | 25 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/06 | @ SAC | 22 | 10 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/03 | vs HOU | 19 | 9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/01 | vs PHI | 11 | 8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | @ POR | 26 | 17 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/27 | @ SAC | 23 | 11 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 12/25 | @ GSW | 15 | 6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | vs DEN | 17 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/22 | @ NOP | 14 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/20 | @ PHI | 14 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/18 | vs DET | 16 | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/15 | @ UTA | 13 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/13 | @ MEM | 19 | 20 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 0.00 |