AJ Johnson
25
Points Stability
9.0
Median PTS
9.7
Mean PTS
0.56
CV
4.8
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
2.9
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
7.8
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
9.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
12.5
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
17.2
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
20
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
3.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 20 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/14 | @ LAC | 3 | - | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/11 | @ PHX | 10 | - | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/09 | vs NOP | 16 | 6 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | @ PHI | 20 | 6 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/06 | vs ORL | 6 | - | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/04 | vs MIN | 13 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/02 | vs BKN | 14 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/31 | @ MIL | 16 | 8 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | vs PHX | 1 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/26 | vs TOR | 3 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/23 | @ CHA | 2 | - | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/18 | @ SAS | 4 | - | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 04/13 | @ MIA | 48 | 14 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/11 | @ CHI | 34 | 8 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/09 | vs PHI | 36 | 7 | 1-11 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 04/08 | @ IND | 25 | 8 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/06 | @ BOS | 34 | 12 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/03 | vs ORL | 29 | 11 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/02 | vs SAC | 37 | 19 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/31 | vs MIA | 37 | 8 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/29 | vs BKN | 42 | 20 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 03/27 | vs IND | 27 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/26 | @ PHI | 34 | 9 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/24 | vs TOR | 28 | 17 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 03/22 | @ NYK | 28 | 9 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0.00 |