AJ Johnson
29
Points Stability
9.5
Median PTS
10.7
Mean PTS
0.56
CV
5.5
IQR
Minutes-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
6.3
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
8.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
9.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
13.5
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
19.1
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
20
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
2.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 10 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/14 | @ LAC | 3 | - | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/11 | @ PHX | 10 | - | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/09 | vs NOP | 16 | 6 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | @ PHI | 20 | 6 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/06 | vs ORL | 6 | - | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/04 | vs MIN | 13 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/02 | vs BKN | 14 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/31 | @ MIL | 16 | 8 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | vs PHX | 1 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/26 | vs TOR | 3 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/23 | @ CHA | 2 | - | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/18 | @ SAS | 4 | - | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 04/13 | @ MIA | 48 | 14 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/11 | @ CHI | 34 | 8 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/09 | vs PHI | 36 | 7 | 1-11 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 0.00 |