AJ Johnson
29
Points Stability
9.5
Median PTS
10.7
Mean PTS
0.56
CV
5.5
IQR
Minutes-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
6.3
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
8.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
9.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
13.5
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
19.1
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
20
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
2.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 10 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01 | vs OKC | 22 | 6 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/27 | vs MEM | 34 | 12 | 3-13 | 1-8 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/26 | vs SAC | 15 | 11 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/24 | @ BKN | 1 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 02/20 | @ MIN | 5 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/12 | @ LAL | 3 | - | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 02/07 | @ SAS | 7 | - | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 02/03 | vs NYK | 24 | 14 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/01 | vs SAC | 27 | 17 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/16 | @ SAC | 11 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/14 | @ LAC | 3 | - | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/11 | @ PHX | 10 | - | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/09 | vs NOP | 16 | 6 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | @ PHI | 20 | 6 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/06 | vs ORL | 6 | - | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |