Aaron Nesmith

Indiana Pacers

10 15 20 30 50 82
4
Points Stability
12.0
Median PTS
12.0
Mean PTS
0.54
CV
9.0
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver

Points Distribution

P10 4.4 10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25 7.0 25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50 12.0 Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75 16.0 75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90 20.2 90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min 0 Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max 30 Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD 4.0 Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.

Points Over Last 50 Games

Prop Line Analysis

Recent Scoring

Date Opp MIN PTS FG 3P FT PPM
01/14 vs TOR 31 6 1-12 0-8 4-4 0.00
01/12 vs BOS 32 6 2-9 2-6 0-0 0.00
01/10 vs MIA 27 12 4-12 1-5 3-4 0.00
01/08 @ CHA 35 16 5-12 3-7 3-3 0.00
01/06 vs CLE 33 14 5-17 3-7 1-2 0.00
01/04 @ ORL 34 25 8-16 5-11 4-4 0.00
01/02 vs SAS 29 9 3-6 1-2 2-2 0.00
12/31 vs ORL 32 9 3-11 2-6 1-2 0.00
12/29 @ HOU 24 14 5-8 4-6 0-0 0.00
12/27 @ MIA 19 9 3-9 3-8 0-0 0.00
04/13 @ CLE 14 10 4-7 1-2 1-1 0.00
04/10 vs CLE 30 22 7-14 3-6 5-6 0.00
04/08 vs WAS 29 7 2-6 1-3 2-2 0.00
04/06 @ DEN 30 17 5-10 3-5 4-4 0.00
04/04 vs UTA 20 12 5-7 2-2 0-1 0.00
04/02 vs CHA 26 16 6-12 3-9 1-1 0.00
03/31 vs SAC 35 24 7-16 1-8 9-9 0.00
03/29 @ OKC 22 7 3-8 1-3 0-0 0.00
03/27 @ WAS 19 11 4-7 3-5 0-0 0.00
03/26 vs LAL 21 13 5-9 3-6 0-0 0.00
03/24 vs MIN 24 17 7-9 3-3 0-0 0.00
03/22 vs BKN 22 6 2-6 2-4 0-0 0.00
03/20 vs BKN 35 14 4-9 2-6 4-4 0.00
03/19 vs DAL 35 18 6-9 3-5 3-3 0.00
03/15 @ MIL 36 30 11-16 6-7 2-2 0.00
03/14 @ PHI 28 16 6-11 3-6 1-2 0.00
03/11 vs MIL 31 9 4-11 1-4 0-0 0.00
03/10 @ CHI 23 9 3-9 3-7 0-0 0.00
03/08 @ ATL 34 14 6-12 2-6 0-0 0.00
03/06 @ ATL 35 21 8-15 4-9 1-1 0.00
03/04 vs HOU 34 16 7-13 1-6 1-1 0.00
03/02 vs CHI 29 27 9-16 6-11 3-4 0.00
02/28 @ MIA 35 7 3-8 1-4 0-0 0.00
02/26 vs TOR 24 12 5-9 2-5 0-0 0.00
02/24 vs DEN 33 17 5-10 2-6 5-5 0.00
02/23 vs LAC 25 19 7-11 2-5 3-3 0.00
02/20 vs MEM 24 13 4-8 3-5 2-2 0.00
02/12 @ WAS 21 8 3-6 2-3 0-0 0.00
02/11 vs NYK 13 - 0-3 0-2 0-0 1.00
02/08 @ LAL 21 6 3-9 0-6 0-0 0.00
02/06 @ LAC 21 4 0-3 0-2 4-4 0.00
02/04 @ POR 17 5 2-5 1-2 0-0 0.00
02/03 @ UTA 26 13 4-6 1-3 4-5 0.00
02/01 vs ATL 23 13 4-8 2-5 3-3 0.00
01/29 vs DET 32 - 0-4 0-2 0-0 1.00
01/25 @ SAS 21 9 4-7 1-3 0-0 0.00
01/23 vs SAS 19 3 1-5 0-2 1-1 0.00
01/18 vs PHI 11 12 4-5 2-3 2-2 0.00
01/16 @ DET 9 9 3-4 2-3 1-1 1.00
11/01 @ NOP 10 12 5-5 2-2 0-0 0.00
10/30 vs BOS 30 12 5-9 2-4 0-0 0.00
10/28 @ ORL 31 10 3-9 0-1 4-6 0.00
10/27 vs PHI 28 10 2-4 1-1 5-5 0.00
10/25 @ NYK 18 4 2-5 0-1 0-0 0.00
10/23 @ DET 19 7 2-4 1-2 2-2 0.00