Aaron Holiday
5
Points Stability
6.0
Median PTS
6.9
Mean PTS
0.90
CV
8.5
IQR
Minutes-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
0.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
2.3
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
6.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
10.8
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
14.2
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
25
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
4.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 30 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | @ SAC | 28 | 3 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | @ POR | 5 | - | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/05 | vs PHX | 10 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/03 | @ DAL | 14 | - | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/01 | @ BKN | 3 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/29 | vs IND | 4 | - | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/27 | vs CLE | 13 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/25 | @ LAL | 3 | - | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/23 | @ LAC | 16 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/20 | @ DEN | 8 | - | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/18 | @ NOP | 10 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/15 | @ DEN | 10 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/11 | vs LAC | 17 | 13 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/13 | vs DEN | 9 | 6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/11 | @ LAL | 24 | 11 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 04/09 | @ LAC | 20 | 16 | 6-13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/06 | @ GSW | 11 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/04 | vs OKC | 1 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 04/02 | vs UTA | 13 | 6 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/30 | @ PHX | 21 | 11 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/27 | @ UTA | 12 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/25 | vs ATL | 10 | 6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/19 | @ ORL | 4 | - | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 03/17 | vs PHI | 14 | 8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/15 | vs CHI | 12 | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/14 | vs DAL | 16 | 13 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/12 | vs PHX | 13 | 6 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/10 | vs ORL | 16 | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/08 | vs NOP | 24 | 20 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/04 | @ IND | 2 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 03/03 | @ OKC | 19 | 14 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/01 | vs SAC | 9 | 7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 02/26 | vs SAS | 16 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/25 | vs MIL | 11 | - | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1.00 |
| 02/22 | @ UTA | 20 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |