Aaron Holiday
7
Points Stability
6.0
Median PTS
7.2
Mean PTS
0.73
CV
8.0
IQR
Minutes-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
2.7
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
3.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
6.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
11.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
13.3
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
16
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
4.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 10 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | @ SAC | 28 | 3 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | @ POR | 5 | - | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/05 | vs PHX | 10 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/03 | @ DAL | 14 | - | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/01 | @ BKN | 3 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/29 | vs IND | 4 | - | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/27 | vs CLE | 13 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/25 | @ LAL | 3 | - | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/23 | @ LAC | 16 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/20 | @ DEN | 8 | - | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/18 | @ NOP | 10 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/15 | @ DEN | 10 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/11 | vs LAC | 17 | 13 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/13 | vs DEN | 9 | 6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/11 | @ LAL | 24 | 11 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0.00 |