Zach Collins
7
Points Stability
8.0
Median PTS
9.1
Mean PTS
0.67
CV
8.0
IQR
Minutes-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
1.8
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
5.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
8.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
13.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
18.1
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
21
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
5.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 30 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/27 | vs MIL | 24 | 10 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0.00 |
| 12/26 | vs PHI | 19 | 15 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | @ ATL | 18 | 10 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/21 | @ ATL | 16 | 10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/19 | @ CLE | 19 | 13 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/17 | vs CLE | 16 | 10 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/14 | vs NOP | 12 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/12 | @ CHA | 20 | 16 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/13 | @ PHI | 15 | 13 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 04/11 | vs WAS | 20 | 8 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/09 | vs MIA | 13 | - | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 04/08 | @ CLE | 24 | 7 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/06 | @ CHA | 15 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/04 | vs POR | 15 | 5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/01 | vs TOR | 19 | 7 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/31 | @ OKC | 15 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/29 | vs DAL | 18 | 13 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 03/27 | vs LAL | 16 | 10 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/24 | @ DEN | 4 | - | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 03/22 | @ LAL | 18 | 9 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/20 | @ SAC | 8 | 6 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/19 | @ PHX | 18 | 8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/17 | @ UTA | 17 | - | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 03/15 | @ HOU | 19 | 5 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 03/13 | vs BKN | 25 | 9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/10 | vs IND | 23 | 7 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/08 | @ MIA | 32 | 18 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/06 | @ ORL | 12 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/04 | vs CLE | 28 | 20 | 10-16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/02 | @ IND | 29 | 16 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/28 | vs TOR | 40 | 15 | 5-10 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/26 | vs LAC | 38 | 21 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 0.00 |
| 02/24 | @ PHI | 28 | 19 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/22 | vs PHX | 18 | 8 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/20 | @ NYK | 15 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |