Will Riley
18
Points Stability
7.0
Median PTS
7.0
Mean PTS
0.71
CV
5.0
IQR
Minutes-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
3.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
4.5
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
7.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
9.5
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
11.0
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
2
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
12
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
5.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 30 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02 | vs HOU | 33 | 7 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 02/28 | vs TOR | 35 | 19 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 0.00 |
| 02/26 | @ ATL | 36 | 14 | 6-17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/24 | @ ATL | 29 | 18 | 7-8 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/22 | vs CHA | 31 | 11 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/20 | vs IND | 12 | 12 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 1.00 |
| 02/19 | vs IND | 4 | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/11 | @ CLE | 29 | 4 | 1-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/08 | vs MIA | 21 | 9 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/07 | @ BKN | 45 | 27 | 10-19 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 02/05 | @ DET | 29 | 20 | 9-14 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/03 | vs NYK | 25 | 17 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/01 | vs SAC | 30 | 18 | 6-15 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/30 | vs LAL | 25 | 13 | 5-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/29 | vs MIL | 18 | 6 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/27 | vs POR | 11 | 6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/24 | @ CHA | 23 | 7 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/22 | vs DEN | 21 | 13 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/19 | vs LAC | 18 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/17 | @ DEN | 16 | 7 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 01/16 | @ SAC | 22 | 6 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/14 | @ LAC | 27 | 12 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 01/11 | @ PHX | 19 | 9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 0.00 |
| 01/06 | vs ORL | 12 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/04 | vs MIN | 14 | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/02 | vs BKN | 19 | 9 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/31 | @ MIL | 12 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | vs PHX | 21 | 10 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/28 | vs MEM | 19 | - | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/26 | vs TOR | 16 | 8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | @ CHA | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/21 | vs SAS | 17 | 8 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/20 | @ MEM | 11 | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/18 | @ SAS | 17 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/14 | @ IND | 23 | 12 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 0.00 |