Tyler Herro

Miami Heat

10 15 20 30 50 82
17
Points Stability
25.0
Median PTS
23.9
Mean PTS
0.35
CV
9.5
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver

Points Distribution

P10 12.8 10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25 20.0 25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50 25.0 Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75 29.5 75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90 33.0 90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min 8 Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max 36 Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD 5.0 Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.

Points Over Last 15 Games

Prop Line Analysis

Recent Scoring

Date Opp MIN PTS FG 3P FT PPM
01/13 vs PHX 39 23 8-18 2-8 5-6 0.00
01/11 @ OKC 27 19 8-15 1-3 2-3 0.00
01/10 @ IND 32 21 8-19 1-8 4-4 0.00
01/06 @ MIN 29 17 7-15 1-4 2-2 0.00
12/09 @ ORL 34 20 7-17 0-6 6-7 0.00
04/11 @ NOP 22 22 7-10 2-3 6-6 1.00
04/09 @ CHI 36 30 13-26 2-7 2-2 0.00
04/07 vs PHI 33 20 8-14 2-4 2-3 0.00
04/03 vs MEM 37 35 12-23 4-7 7-7 0.00
04/02 @ BOS 38 25 7-18 2-6 9-10 0.00
03/31 @ WAS 33 27 9-19 0-6 9-9 0.00
03/29 @ PHI 34 30 11-17 5-9 3-3 0.00
03/27 vs ATL 38 36 13-17 4-6 6-7 0.00
03/25 vs GSW 36 20 7-10 4-4 2-2 0.00
03/23 vs CHA 40 29 11-19 2-5 5-5 0.00
03/21 vs HOU 39 8 3-11 0-1 2-2 0.00
03/19 vs DET 37 29 10-20 3-9 6-6 0.00
03/17 @ NYK 30 20 10-18 0-3 0-0 0.00
03/15 @ MEM 22 8 3-12 1-4 1-1 0.00
03/14 vs BOS 38 19 7-15 3-8 2-2 0.00