Reed Sheppard
4
Points Stability
3.0
Median PTS
5.7
Mean PTS
1.19
CV
8.8
IQR
Minutes-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
0.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
0.3
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
3.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
9.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
15.1
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
25
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
3.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 30 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/28 | @ MIA | 36 | 14 | 5-14 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/26 | @ ORL | 31 | 20 | 7-11 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/25 | vs SAC | 32 | 28 | 9-21 | 7-16 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/23 | vs UTA | 24 | 15 | 5-9 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/21 | @ NYK | 21 | 10 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/19 | @ CHA | 24 | 13 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/11 | vs LAC | 25 | 17 | 6-13 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/10 | vs LAC | 30 | 16 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/07 | @ OKC | 32 | 16 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/05 | vs CHA | 22 | 7 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/04 | vs BOS | 19 | 9 | 3-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/02 | @ IND | 25 | 11 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/31 | vs DAL | 17 | 6 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/29 | @ ATL | 26 | 13 | 5-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/28 | vs SAS | 26 | 9 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/26 | vs MEM | 15 | 4 | 2-11 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/23 | @ DET | 25 | 18 | 6-15 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 0.00 |
| 01/22 | @ PHI | 23 | 14 | 5-14 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0.00 |
| 01/20 | vs SAS | 29 | 21 | 8-17 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/18 | vs NOP | 18 | 11 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/16 | vs MIN | 19 | 14 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/15 | vs OKC | 19 | 7 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/13 | vs CHI | 22 | 8 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/11 | @ SAC | 15 | 6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 01/09 | @ POR | 34 | 20 | 8-21 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | @ POR | 22 | 8 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/05 | vs PHX | 23 | 11 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/03 | @ DAL | 22 | 8 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/01 | @ BKN | 31 | 14 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | vs IND | 24 | 13 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/27 | vs CLE | 32 | 18 | 5-12 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/25 | @ LAL | 19 | 13 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | @ LAC | 26 | 8 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 12/21 | @ SAC | 34 | 15 | 4-13 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/20 | @ DEN | 30 | 28 | 9-15 | 6-9 | 4-4 | 0.00 |