Pelle Larsson

Miami Heat

10 15 20 30 50 82
18
Points Stability
3.0
Median PTS
4.4
Mean PTS
1.05
CV
4.8
IQR
Minutes-driven
Volatility Driver

Points Distribution

P10 0.0 10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25 0.3 25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50 3.0 Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75 5.0 75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90 12.2 90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min 0 Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max 16 Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD 2.0 Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.

Points Over Last 50 Games

Prop Line Analysis

Recent Scoring

Date Opp MIN PTS FG 3P FT PPM
01/13 vs PHX 27 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0.00
01/11 @ OKC 28 16 6-11 1-4 3-4 0.00
01/10 @ IND 16 4 0-1 0-1 4-6 0.00
01/06 @ MIN 20 7 3-9 1-4 0-0 0.00
01/04 vs NOP 26 16 7-15 1-5 1-3 0.00
12/29 vs DEN 15 3 1-5 1-3 0-0 0.00
12/27 vs IND 27 16 5-7 1-1 5-6 0.00
12/26 @ ATL 30 21 9-13 3-4 0-0 0.00
12/09 @ ORL 11 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0.00
04/07 vs PHI 26 12 4-6 2-3 2-4 0.00
04/05 vs MIL 39 3 1-8 1-6 0-0 0.00
04/03 vs MEM 23 3 1-3 0-1 1-2 0.00
04/02 @ BOS 30 16 4-9 2-3 6-7 0.00
03/31 @ WAS 30 15 7-13 0-4 1-2 0.00
03/29 @ PHI 30 14 5-11 2-2 2-3 0.00
03/27 vs ATL 7 3 1-2 1-1 0-0 0.00
03/25 vs GSW 4 5 2-4 1-2 0-0 0.00
03/19 vs DET 4 - 0-2 0-1 0-0 1.00
03/17 @ NYK 14 4 1-2 1-1 1-2 0.00
03/15 @ MEM 14 4 2-5 0-2 0-0 0.00
03/14 vs BOS 16 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 0.00
03/12 vs LAC 28 10 3-8 2-5 2-2 0.00
03/10 vs CHA 4 - 0-0 0-0 0-0 1.00
03/07 vs MIN 18 5 2-8 0-4 1-1 0.00
03/05 @ CLE 12 3 1-3 1-2 0-0 0.00
03/03 vs WAS 28 16 6-11 1-4 3-5 0.00
02/26 vs ATL 1 - 0-0 0-0 0-0 1.00
02/13 @ DAL 10 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0.00
02/12 @ OKC 7 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 0.00
02/10 vs BOS 15 3 1-5 1-3 0-0 0.00
02/07 @ BKN 11 - 0-0 0-0 0-0 1.00
02/05 @ PHI 22 5 1-2 1-1 2-2 0.00
02/01 @ SAS 1 - 0-1 0-1 0-0 1.00
01/29 vs CLE 14 - 0-0 0-0 0-0 1.00
01/27 vs ORL 19 5 2-4 1-3 0-0 0.00
01/25 @ BKN 5 - 0-0 0-0 0-0 1.00
01/23 @ MIL 14 4 1-5 0-2 2-3 0.00
01/21 vs POR 15 11 4-7 2-4 1-1 0.00
01/19 vs SAS 2 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 1.00
01/17 vs DEN 2 - 0-1 0-0 0-0 1.00
01/11 @ POR 10 2 1-4 0-2 0-0 0.00
01/07 @ GSW 1 - 0-0 0-0 0-0 1.00
01/06 @ SAC 5 - 0-1 0-1 0-0 1.00
01/04 vs UTA 10 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0.00
01/02 vs IND 2 - 0-0 0-0 0-0 1.00
12/28 @ ATL 4 - 0-1 0-0 0-0 1.00
12/23 vs BKN 17 2 0-5 0-3 2-2 0.00
12/21 @ ORL 24 5 1-2 0-0 3-3 0.00
12/04 vs LAL 19 5 2-5 1-3 0-0 0.00
12/02 @ BOS 12 5 2-2 1-1 0-0 0.00
12/01 @ TOR 18 8 3-6 1-3 1-2 0.00
11/29 vs TOR 18 5 2-4 1-2 0-0 0.00
11/27 @ CHA 15 6 2-3 0-1 2-4 0.00
11/26 vs MIL 22 8 3-9 1-5 1-2 0.00
11/24 vs DAL 36 14 6-8 1-2 1-2 0.00