Patrick Williams
5
Points Stability
7.0
Median PTS
8.5
Mean PTS
0.71
CV
9.5
IQR
Minutes-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
1.8
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
4.8
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
7.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
14.3
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
16.0
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
21
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
4.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 20 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/24 | vs CHA | 26 | 11 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/22 | vs NYK | 28 | 10 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/21 | vs DET | 16 | 6 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/19 | vs TOR | 27 | 6 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/11 | @ BOS | 35 | 12 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/09 | @ BKN | 18 | 7 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0.00 |
| 02/07 | vs DEN | 20 | 8 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/05 | @ TOR | 25 | 9 | 3-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/03 | @ MIL | 27 | 17 | 7-17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/01 | @ MIA | 28 | 9 | 3-12 | 0-7 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/31 | @ MIA | 34 | 15 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/29 | vs MIA | 12 | - | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/28 | @ IND | 17 | - | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/26 | vs LAL | 12 | 7 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/24 | vs BOS | 16 | 10 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/22 | @ MIN | 16 | 5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/16 | @ BKN | 12 | 7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/14 | vs UTA | 23 | 13 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/13 | @ HOU | 18 | - | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/10 | vs DAL | 20 | 4 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | @ DET | 15 | 6 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/05 | @ BOS | 10 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/03 | vs CHA | 15 | - | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/02 | vs ORL | 23 | 15 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/31 | vs NOP | 20 | 12 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0.00 |